Match Info

Date: 26 September 2020, Saturday


	Huragan Morąg		Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.75	2.05
	2.82	3.78	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.5)	3.77 ↑ (3.45)	2.07 ↓ (2.26)

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huragan Morąg
32.2%

Draw
24%

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

25.6%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

18.2%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huragan Morąg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huragan Morąg than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Huragan Morąg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Huragan Morąg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Huragan Morąg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huragan Morąg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.09.20	Błonianka Błonie - Huragan Morąg	2:3 ✺
12.09.20	Huragan Morąg - Pelikan Łowicz	1:2 ✺
05.09.20	Wikielec - Huragan Morąg	3:1 ✺
29.08.20	Huragan Morąg - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:4 ✺
22.08.20	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Huragan Morąg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLLW
- Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.09.20	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Legia II	4:0 ✺
12.09.20	Znicz Biała Piska - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:1 ✺
05.09.20	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	1:3 ✺
29.08.20	Wasilków - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	0:2 ✺
23.08.20	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Broń Radom	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
05.10.19	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Huragan Morąg	0:1

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