Match Info

Date: 24 October 2020, Saturday


	Huragan Morąg		Ursus Warszawa

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.5
	2.37	3.54	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.37)	3.52 ↓ (3.54)	2.52 ↓ (2.53)

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Current Win Probability

Huragan Morąg
38.3%

Draw
25.7%

Ursus Warszawa
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

25.7%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

18.6%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huragan Morąg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Ursus Warszawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huragan Morąg than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Huragan Morąg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ursus Warszawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 17).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Huragan Morąg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Huragan Morąg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huragan Morąg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
17.10.20	Legionovia Legionowo - Huragan Morąg	1:1 ✺
10.10.20	Huragan Morąg - Concordia Elbląg	0:0 ✺
03.10.20	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Huragan Morąg	4:3 ✺
26.09.20	Huragan Morąg - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
19.09.20	Błonianka Błonie - Huragan Morąg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TTLLW
- RKS Ursus Warszawa
Polish Division 3 - Group I
17.10.20	Ursus Warszawa - Legia II	0:1 ✺
10.10.20	Znicz Biała Piska - Ursus Warszawa	3:1 ✺
03.10.20	Ursus Warszawa - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	1:0 ✺
26.09.20	Wasilków - Ursus Warszawa	0:2 ✺
19.09.20	Ursus Warszawa - Broń Radom	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
24.08.19	Huragan Morąg - Ursus Warszawa	3:0
19.05.19	Ursus Warszawa - Huragan Morąg	4:2
06.10.18	Huragan Morąg - Ursus Warszawa	1:1
23.05.18	Ursus Warszawa - Huragan Morąg	1:3
21.10.17	Huragan Morąg - Ursus Warszawa	1:0

Huragan Morąg - Ursus Warszawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide