Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki		Huragan Morąg

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	6
	1.36	4.75	6
	1.32	4.7	6.6
	1.36	4.95	6.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.41)	4.79 ↑ (4.56)	6.31 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
66.9%

Draw
18.9%

Huragan Morąg
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

19.8%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

11.8%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Huragan Morąg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-28.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huragan Morąg than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Huragan Morąg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Huragan Morąg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 and 19).

Recent matches Świt is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Huragan Morąg is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Świt is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Świt won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Świt won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.09.20	Legia II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:3 ✺
19.09.20	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Znicz Biała Piska	0:1 ✺
12.09.20	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
05.09.20	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wasilków	2:0 ✺
29.08.20	Broń Radom - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLTWT
- Huragan Morąg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
26.09.20	Huragan Morąg - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
19.09.20	Błonianka Błonie - Huragan Morąg	2:3 ✺
12.09.20	Huragan Morąg - Pelikan Łowicz	1:2 ✺
05.09.20	Wikielec - Huragan Morąg	3:1 ✺
29.08.20	Huragan Morąg - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
02.11.19	Huragan Morąg - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	1:1
13.04.19	Huragan Morąg - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:3
31.08.18	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Huragan Morąg	5:0
14.04.18	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Huragan Morąg	3:1
02.09.17	Huragan Morąg - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	4:1

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