Match Info

Date: 1 March 2022, Tuesday


	Hussein Dey		Chelghoum

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.25	5.5
	1.55	3.45	5.8
	1.6	3.3	5.6
	1.68	3.09	6.85
	1.6	3.25	6
	1.63	3.38	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.9)	3.29 ↑ (3.02)	5.89 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hussein Dey
56.7%

Draw
27.8%

Chelghoum
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

30.6%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

20.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hussein Dey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hussein Dey's performance.

Chelghoum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelghoum might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hussein Dey than the current prediction. (-24.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hussein Dey that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelghoum than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelghoum could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95%	1.7%	3.3%

Hussein Dey - Chelghoum Predictions

Users Predictions: Hussein Dey will win (57 of 60 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.49% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 14).

Hussein Dey has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Chelghoum is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chelghoum could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hussein Dey have a series of guest games.

In this match Hussein Dey is a favorite.

Recent matches Chelghoum is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hussein Dey won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NA Hussein Dey
Algerian Ligue 1
25.02.22	USM Alger - Hussein Dey	1:0 ✺
05.02.22	Biskra - Hussein Dey	2:1 ✺
29.01.22	Hussein Dey - Saoura	1:2 ✺
25.01.22	Arbaâ - Hussein Dey	3:1 ✺
21.01.22	Rélizane - Hussein Dey	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- HB Chelghoum Laïd
Algerian Ligue 1
05.02.22	Chelghoum - Olympique de Médéa	2:0 ✺
29.01.22	Paradou - Chelghoum	6:2 ✺
25.01.22	Chelghoum - Constantine	1:1 ✺
21.01.22	MC Alger - Chelghoum	1:0 ✺
15.01.22	Chelghoum - Tlemcen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
29.10.21	Chelghoum - Hussein Dey	0:1

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