Match Info

Division 2 - Round 31

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Suche Stawy (Kraków)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Hutnik		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.68
	3.8	3.65	1.77	Watch
	3.96	3.86	1.83
	4.03	3.71	1.83	Watch
	4	3.5	1.75
	3.98	3.8	1.71	Watch
	3.8	3.65	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (3.86)	3.68 ↑ (3.6)	1.76 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hutnik
23.2%

Draw
24.9%

Polonia Bytom
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

25.3%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

24.6%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hutnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Hutnik - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hoyo-Kowalski D. (G) 9. Belych Y. 10. Glogowski K. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 76. Kielis P. 77. Kuzimski M. 11. Slomka W. 22. Sowinski M. 21. Szablowski K. 32. Tarasovs I. 6. Urbanczyk M.	99. Holewinski A. (G) 11. Andrzejczak K. 23. Arak J. 18. Gajda T. 25. Konieczny D. 30. Krzyzak O. 3. Michalski S. 29. Piekarski A. 16. Stefanski P. 14. Szymusik G. 9. Wojtyra K.
Substitutes
1. Fratczak D. (G) 8. Misak P. 37. Motrycz A. 19. Rzepka K. 24. Semik K. 15. Soprych O. 27. Wilak F. 20. Zieba M.	15. Kwiatkowski O. 8. Labojko M. 19. Sarmiento J. 6. Scislak D. 17. Steblecki S. 1. Szymkowiak K. (G) 4. Szywacz R. 22. Tomaszewski B. 28. Wypart O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', Krzyzak O. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Wojtyra K. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Szymusik G. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
46', Belych Y. ↓, Wilak F. ↑,
46', Szablowski K. ↓, Semik K. ↑,
50', Konieczny D. 🟨,
51', 1 - 2, Hoyo-Kowalski D. ⚽,
54', 1 - 3, Wojtyra K. ⚽,
59', Piekarski A. ↓, Wypart O. ↑,
62', Urbanczyk M. 🟨,
64', Wojtyra K. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
64', Konieczny D. ↓, Szywacz R. ↑,
65', Kuzimski M. ↓, Rzepka K. ↑,
68', Glogowski K. ↓, Soprych O. ↑,
71', Sarmiento J. 🟨,
74', 1 - 4, Michalski S. ⚽,
75', 2 - 4, Urbanczyk M. ⚽,
76', Michalski S. ↓, Kwiatkowski O. ↑,
76', Andrzejczak K. ↓, Labojko M. ↑,
78', Sowinski M. ↓, Misak P. ↑,
88', 2 - 5, Sarmiento J. ⚽,
90', 3 - 5, Semik K. ⚽,
90+1', Gajda T. 🟨,
90+1', Misak P. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hutnik won 3.

Hutnik has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Polonia Bytom is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hutnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Polonia Bytom is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hutnik won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hutnik won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Division 2
11.05.25	Hutnik - KKS Kalisz	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Hutnik	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Hutnik - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Resovia Rzeszów - Hutnik	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Hutnik - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWWT
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 2
11.05.25	Polonia Bytom - Wieczysta Kraków	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	KKS Kalisz - Polonia Bytom	2:4 ✺
26.04.25	Polonia Bytom - Wisła Puławy	4:0 ✺
17.04.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Polonia Bytom	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Polonia Bytom - Skra Częstochowa	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
19.10.24	Polonia Bytom - Hutnik	2:0
27.04.24	Hutnik - Polonia Bytom	4:1
14.10.23	Polonia Bytom - Hutnik	0:1
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Hutnik - Polonia Bytom	1:1
20.02.21	Polonia Bytom - Hutnik	0:1
15.07.20	Polonia Bytom - Hutnik	2:3
29.02.20	Hutnik - Polonia Bytom	2:4

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