Match Info

Division 2 - Round 29

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Kalisz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	KKS Kalisz		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.73
	3.35	3.35	2	Watch
	3.63	3.35	2
	3.61	3.41	2.02	Watch
	4	3.3	1.75
	3.49	3.4	1.93	Watch
	3.35	3.35	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↓ (3.87)	3.38 ↓ (3.73)	1.92 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KKS Kalisz
25.3%

Draw
27.1%

Polonia Bytom
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

24.5%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

24%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KKS Kalisz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Polonia Bytom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KKS Kalisz than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polonia Bytom could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

KKS Kalisz - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - KKS Kalisz (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Polonia Bytom will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. KKS Kalisz (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Polonia Bytom (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krakowiak M. (C) 8. Andruszko M. 6. Cierpka A. 3. Gawlik M. 24. Glaz J. 10. Gordillo N. 20. Janiak K. 16. Putno B. 42. Smolinski W. 5. Staszak J. 4. Wypych M.	99. Holewinski A. (G) 11. Andrzejczak K. 23. Arak J. 26. Barczak N. 18. Gajda T. 25. Konieczny D. 30. Krzyzak O. 8. Labojko M. 14. Szymusik G. 9. Wojtyra K. 28. Wypart O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Wojtyra K. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Andrzejczak K. ⚽,
35', Gawlik M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 🟨,
60', Glaz J. ↓, Toporkiewicz K. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Janiak K. ⚽,
68', Konieczny D. ↓, Szywacz R. ↑,
68', Andrzejczak K. ↓, Campo ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Wypych M. ⚽,
74', Andruszko M. ↓, Staszak W. ↑,
77', Labojko M. ↓, Scislak D. ↑,
77', Wojtyra K. ↓, Kwiatkowski O. ↑,
79', Janiak K. ↓, Bialczyk M. ↑,
79', Smolinski W. ↓, Flisiuk K. ↑,
79', 🟨,
84', 2 - 3, Arak J. ⚽,
84', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 4, Kwiatkowski O. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).

KKS Kalisz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Polonia Bytom is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Polonia Bytom may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Polonia Bytom is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KKS Kalisz won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, KKS Kalisz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KKS 1925 Kalisz
Polish Division 2
25.04.25	KKS Kalisz - ŁKS Łódź II	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - KKS Kalisz	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	KKS Kalisz - Resovia Rzeszów	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - KKS Kalisz	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	KKS Kalisz - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 2
26.04.25	Polonia Bytom - Wisła Puławy	4:0 ✺
17.04.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Polonia Bytom	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Polonia Bytom - Skra Częstochowa	5:3 ✺
09.04.25	Resovia Rzeszów - Polonia Bytom	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polonia Bytom	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
06.10.24	Polonia Bytom - KKS Kalisz	3:0
29.05.24	KKS Kalisz - Polonia Bytom	1:0
19.04.24	Polonia Bytom - KKS Kalisz	1:1
08.10.23	KKS Kalisz - Polonia Bytom	0:0
Polish Cup
23.07.16	KKS Kalisz - Polonia Bytom	1:0

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