Match Info

1st Division - Round 5

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Location: Hvidovre Stadium (Hvidovre)

Referee: Staal A. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hvidovre		Aarhus Fremad

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.6	2.55	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.7
	2.5	3.45	2.6	Watch
	2.48	3.68	2.7
	2.43	3.61	2.62	Watch
	2	3.4	3.25
	2.54	3.52	2.58	Watch
	2.05	3.55	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.97)	3.53 ↓ (3.86)	2.78 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hvidovre
39.9%

Draw
26.5%

Aarhus Fremad
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

24.3%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

24.1%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hvidovre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hvidovre's form might have worsened.

Aarhus Fremad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aarhus Fremad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hvidovre than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hvidovre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aarhus Fremad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Hvidovre - Aarhus Fremad Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Aarhus Fremad (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aarhus Fremad (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Ravn A. (G) 30. Fredslund M. 25. Kiilerich M. 2. Stenderup D. 23. Clausen N. 16. Adjei-Broni J. 18. Knudsen M. 8. Krogstad F. 14. Kjaergaard O. 45. Egho M. 22. Smed A.	1. Kiilerich K. (G) 10. Kirchheiner M. (C) 4. Pisani A. 20. Hjaltason O. 21. de Claville Berthelsen M. 28. Egerton E. 8. Baekgard S. 3. Agnarsson M. 11. Lunding K. 9. Andersen K. 17. Kubel M.
Substitutes
4. Aliji Z. 1. Brylov M. (G) 42. Coskun M. 9. Hogh Jensen F. 15. Iljazovski A. 26. Jensen E. 28. Jungvig N. 7. Singh J. 10. Spelmann M.	23. Andreasen O. 70. Beluli J. 6. Grube F. 30. Hojbjerg V. (G) 7. Kaastrup M. 27. Kirchheiner M. 2. Kjolby M. 5. Nissen E. 24. Thorsen J.
Coaches
Retov M.	Dahm Kjaergaard M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Kjaergaard O. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Egho M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Adjei-Broni J. ↓, Spelmann M. ↑,
46', Krogstad F. ↓, Aliji Z. ↑,
56', Spelmann M. 🟨,
61', Fredslund M. ↓, Iljazovski A. ↑,
65', Aliji Z. 🟨,
68', Knudsen M. 🟨,
69', Egho M. ↓, Hogh Jensen F. ↑,
73', Agnarsson M. ↓, Kirchheiner M. ↑,
73', Baekgard S. ↓, Kaastrup M. ↑,
73', Hjaltason O. ↓, Grube F. ↑,
81', Pisani A. ↓, Kjolby M. ↑,
81', Andersen K. ↓, Beluli J. ↑,
83', Smed A. ↓, Coskun M. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ))

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hvidovre won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Hvidovre won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hvidovre IF
Danish 1 Division
10.08.25	Lyngby BK - Hvidovre	1:2 ✺
04.08.25	Hvidovre - Horsens	0:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
29.07.25	Hvidovre - HB Køge	4:3 ET ✺
Danish 1 Division
26.07.25	Esbjerg - Hvidovre	2:1 ✺
18.07.25	Hvidovre - B.93 Copenhagen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWLT
- Aarhus Fremad
Danish 1 Division
09.08.25	Aarhus Fremad - Hillerød	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	Aarhus Fremad - Lyngby BK	0:2 ✺
25.07.25	HB Køge - Aarhus Fremad	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Horsens - Aarhus Fremad	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.25	Silkeborg IF - Aarhus Fremad	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division - Promotion Group
01.06.17	Aarhus Fremad - Hvidovre	3:1
18.03.17	Hvidovre - Aarhus Fremad	0:0
04.06.16	Aarhus Fremad - Hvidovre	2:1

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