Match Info

1st Division - Round 12

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Hvidovre Stadium (Hvidovre) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Funder S. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	19:00	Viaplay
Finland	20:00	Viaplay
Norway	19:00	Viaplay
Sweden	19:00	Viaplay


	Hvidovre		HB Køge

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.5
	1.95	3.60	3.25
	1.94	3.75	3.5
	2.02	3.98	3.64
	1.92	3.92	3.47	Watch
	1.9	3.9	3.5
	1.87	3.8	3.55	Watch
	1.91	3.65	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 (1.93)	3.78 ↑ (3.58)	3.48 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hvidovre
48.4%

Draw
24.7%

HB Køge
26.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.8%

25.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

24.5%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hvidovre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hvidovre than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Hvidovre - HB Køge Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Hvidovre will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Køge will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hvidovre: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Djukic F. (G) 15. Iljazovski A. 25. Kiilerich M. (C) 23. Clausen N. 77. Njai A. 8. Jensen O. 7. Prip L. 22. Huygevelde N. 14. Kjaergaard O. 24. Aby E. 11. Bagou D.	1. Sommergaard N. (G) 23. Westergren M. 22. Jakobsen M. 2. Bust L. 4. Hald S. 10. Jensen Tue C. 7. Jensen M. (C) 6. Brodersen R. 25. Isaki F. 9. Thomsen T. 11. Warming M.
Substitutes
4. Aliji Z. 3. Jensen Juul O. 19. Johansen A. 18. Knudsen M. 6. Okosun A. 29. Ravn A. (G) 26. Risnaes R. 10. Smed A. 2. Stenderup D.	17. Achton L. 21. Jakobsen N. 28. Larsen G. 16. Mols C. (G) 8. Romer M. 19. Semovski E. 14. Sorensen V. 27. Stolshoj N.
Coaches
Retov M.	Pedersen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Kjaergaard O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Hald S. ↓, Achton L. ↑,
61', Aby E. ↓, Smed A. ↑,
65', Warming M. ↓, Semovski E. ↑,
65', Brodersen R. ↓, Jakobsen N. ↑,
70', Jensen O. ↓, Okosun A. ↑,
72', Jensen Tue C. ↓, Larsen G. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Bagou D. ⚽, Kjaergaard O. (A),
74', Jensen M. ↓, Romer M. ↑,
77', Prip L. ↓, Johansen A. ↑,
77', Bagou D. ↓, Risnaes R. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Semovski E. ⚽, Jakobsen N. (A),
90', 2 - 2, Semovski E. ⚽, Achton L. (A),

Preview

The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion - 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 9th in the 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hvidovre won 5.

Hvidovre has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Køge have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Hvidovre is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Hvidovre in today's match, at odds of 1.76.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hvidovre has recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:19 (averaging 1.9:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hvidovre against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 20:9 goals (averaging 1.8:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hvidovre IF	12	8	4	0	23:12	11	28
10	Koge	12	2	5	5	17:22	-5	11

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Hvidovre IF: 30.77% Koge: 0.84%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hvidovre IF
Danish 1 Division
18.10.26	Hvidovre - Hillerød	1:0 ✺
09.10.26	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Hvidovre	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Aarhus Fremad - Hvidovre	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Hvidovre - Aalborg BK	2:2 ✺
04.09.26	Hobro - Hvidovre	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWTW
- HB Køge
Danish 1 Division
16.10.26	HB Køge - AB Copenhagen	2:3 ✺
11.10.26	Vendsyssel - HB Køge	0:2 ✺
21.09.26	HB Køge - Hobro	5:2 ✺
12.09.26	Esbjerg - HB Køge	2:2 ✺
04.09.26	HB Køge - Hillerød	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
15.08.26	HB Køge - Hvidovre	0:2
Club Friendly
03.07.26	Hvidovre - HB Køge	1:0
Danish 1 Division
23.10.25	Hvidovre - HB Køge	3:1
27.09.25	HB Køge - Hvidovre	0:2
Danish Landspokal Cup
29.07.25	Hvidovre - HB Køge	4:3 ET
Club Friendly
08.07.25	Hvidovre - HB Køge	4:2
Danish 1 Division
10.11.24	HB Køge - Hvidovre	1:0

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