Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: K3 League - Round 26

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday


	Hwaseong		Siheung

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.3	3.5
	1.88	3.45	3.6	Watch
	1.97	3.49	3.75
	1.97	3.41	3.79	Watch
	1.88	3.44	3.66
	1.88	3.45	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.3)	3.42 ↑ (3.25)	3.65 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hwaseong
48.1%

Draw
26.8%

Siheung
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.6%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

27.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hwaseong's performance.

Siheung has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Siheung might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hwaseong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siheung than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Siheung could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Hwaseong - Siheung Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hwaseong will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Siheung will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Jo Dong-Geon ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', 2 - 0, Costa L. ⚽,
64', 2 - 1, Camilo ⚽,
66', 2 - 2, Camilo ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K3 League
14.09.24	Ulsan Citizen - Hwaseong	1:3 ✺
07.09.24	Mokpo City - Hwaseong	1:3 ✺
31.08.24	Hwaseong - Yeoju	3:0 ✺
25.08.24	Hwaseong - Yangpyeong	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Pocheon - Hwaseong	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWT
- FC Siheung
South Korean K3 League
14.09.24	Siheung - Changwon City	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Gangneung - Siheung	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Siheung - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:2 ✺
23.08.24	Chuncheon - Siheung	0:2 ✺
18.08.24	Siheung - Daegu 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
26.05.24	Siheung - Hwaseong	1:0
03.09.23	Hwaseong - Siheung	2:0
07.05.23	Siheung - Hwaseong	0:2
09.07.22	Siheung - Hwaseong	4:0
27.03.22	Hwaseong - Siheung	0:1

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