Match Info

Korean Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday


	Hwaseong		Yangpyeong

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.60	5.50	Watch
	1.53	3.75	5.00
	1.41	4.35	7.00
	1.58	3.90	5.49
	3.18	3.04	2.34	Watch
	1.54	3.85	5.35
	1.58	3.70	5.66	Watch
	1.55	4.00	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.41)	3.77 ↓ (4.06)	5.24 ↓ (6.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hwaseong
55.8%

Draw
25.7%

Yangpyeong
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

22.3%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

21.3%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hwaseong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hwaseong's form might have worsened.

Yangpyeong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hwaseong, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yangpyeong than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yangpyeong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Hwaseong - Yangpyeong Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hwaseong will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Yangpyeong will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 2)
51', 0 - 2, ⚽,
57', 1 - 2, Kim Beom-hwan ⚽,
68', 1 - 3, ⚽,
70', 2 - 3, Yang Si-Hoo ⚽,
77', 3 - 3, Petrov S. ⚽,
89', 4 - 3, Lim Byeong-hun ⚽,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Yangpyeong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Hwaseong has had a series of home games.

In this match, Hwaseong is the clear favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hwaseong won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hwaseong won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K-League 2
11.07.26	Hwaseong - Paju Frontier	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Hwaseong - Suwon Bluewings	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Hwaseong - Gyeongnam	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Cheongju - Hwaseong	2:3 ✺
17.05.26	Hwaseong - Busan I Park	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWWW
- Yangpyeong FC
South Korean K3 League
12.07.26	Yangpyeong - Jeonbuk 2	5:2 ✺
27.06.26	Chuncheon - Yangpyeong	3:3 ✺
20.06.26	Yangpyeong - Yeoju	1:2 ✺
07.06.26	Mokpo City - Yangpyeong	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Dangjin Citizen - Yangpyeong	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
25.08.24	Hwaseong - Yangpyeong	1:0
28.04.24	Yangpyeong - Hwaseong	2:1
16.09.23	Hwaseong - Yangpyeong	3:1
21.05.23	Yangpyeong - Hwaseong	1:3
South Korean Cup
17.04.19	Hwaseong - Yangpyeong	5:2

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