Match Info

K League 2 - Round 17

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Hwaseong Stadium (Hwaseong)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Hwaseong		Paju Frontier

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.60	4.50	Watch
	1.68	3.40	4.33
	1.80	3.30	4.00
	1.74	3.65	5.20
	1.77	3.66	4.42	Watch
	1.71	3.40	4.45
	1.71	3.50	4.38	Watch
	1.71	3.45	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.91)	3.5 ↑ (3.37)	4.46 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hwaseong
53.2%

Draw
26.2%

Paju Frontier
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

27.4%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hwaseong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Paju Frontier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Hwaseong - Paju Frontier Predictions

Users Predictions: Hwaseong will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Park E. (G) 20. Park Jun-seo 15. Vojnovic A. 4. Jang Min-jun 22. Kim D. 8. Jeon S. 92. Lee Jong-Sung (C) 17. Park Kyung-Min 11. Pllana L. 9. Petrov S. 7. Jegal Jae-Min	1. Ryu Won-Woo (G) 88. Lee Taek-Geun 4. Kim Hyun-Tae 6. Cheon Hyeon-Byung 33. Bonilla J. 8. Choi Bum-Kyung 20. Hong Jeong-un (C) 19. You Jae-jun 9. Arias J. 92. Baston B. 27. Baez J.
Substitutes
3. Cho Dong-Jae 16. Choi Myung-Hee 10. Demethryus 44. Ham Sun-Woo 14. Kim Byung-Oh 6. Kim Jung-Min 21. Kim Tae-Joon (G) 29. Son Seung-Beom 5. Yang Si-Hoo	81. Kim Min-Ho 13. Kim Min-seung (G) 2. Kim Min-Sung 77. Lee Chan-ho 16. Lee D. 18. Lee Jea-Ho 10. Lee Joon-Suk 34. Roh S. 14. Seo Dong-Han
Coaches
Cha Du-Ri	Nus G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Arias J. ⚽, Ryu Won-Woo (A),
17', Park Jun-seo 🟨,
32', Park Kyung-Min 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Arias J. ↓, Roh S. ↑,
55', Jegal Jae-Min ↓, Demethryus ↑,
56', Park Kyung-Min ↓, Ham Sun-Woo ↑,
57', Baez J. ↓, Lee Joon-Suk ↑,
57', Cheon Hyeon-Byung ↓, Kim Min-Ho ↑,
67', Lee Jong-Sung ↓, Choi Myung-Hee ↑,
67', Jeon S. ↓, Kim Jung-Min ↑,
78', 0 - 2, Baston B. ⚽, Lee Joon-Suk (A),
79', Pllana L. ↓, Son Seung-Beom ↑,
79', Lee Taek-Geun ↓, Kim Min-Sung ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Choi Myung-Hee ⚽,
86', You Jae-jun ↓, Lee Chan-ho ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hwaseong won 2.

Paju Frontier is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Paju Frontier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hwaseong is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hwaseong won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hwaseong won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hwaseong	26	12	8	6	41:27	14	44
12	Paju Frontier	25	8	5	12	24:28	-4	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hwaseong FC
South Korean K-League 2
06.06.26	Hwaseong - Suwon Bluewings	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Hwaseong - Gyeongnam	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Cheongju - Hwaseong	2:3 ✺
17.05.26	Hwaseong - Busan I Park	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Hwaseong - Suwon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWWT
- Paju Frontier
South Korean K-League 2
04.07.26	Paju Frontier - Yongin	0:1 ✺
05.06.26	Daegu - Paju Frontier	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Busan I Park - Paju Frontier	4:1 ✺
25.05.26	Paju Frontier - Gimpo	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Cheonan City - Paju Frontier	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
21.07.24	Paju Frontier - Hwaseong	0:2
07.04.24	Hwaseong - Paju Frontier	2:0
15.07.23	Paju Frontier - Hwaseong	2:1
02.04.23	Hwaseong - Paju Frontier	0:0
29.10.22	Paju Frontier - Hwaseong	3:0
05.06.22	Hwaseong - Paju Frontier	1:1
01.10.21	Hwaseong - Paju Frontier	1:1

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