Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 6 - ROUND 20

Date: 11 February 2024, Sunday


	Acero		Villarreal C

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.85	2.65
	2.6	2.95	2.65
	2.64	2.77	2.7
	2.6	2.88	2.67
	2.6	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.5)	2.88 ↓ (3.2)	2.66 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acero
34.8%

Draw
31.4%

Villarreal C
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28.7%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Villarreal C has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acero than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal C than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Acero won 1.

Acero is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Villarreal C is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Acero won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Acero won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Acero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
04.02.24	Acero - Roda	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Rayo Ibense - Acero	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Silla - Acero	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Acero - Ontinyent 1931	1:2 ✺
05.01.24	Elche Ilicitano - Acero	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWLL
- Villarreal C
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
04.02.24	Villarreal C - Atzeneta	4:3 ✺
27.01.24	Roda - Villarreal C	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Torrellano - Villarreal C	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Villarreal C - Rayo Ibense	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Villarreal C - Castellonense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
24.09.23	Villarreal C - Acero	5:1
16.04.23	Villarreal C - Acero	3:1
17.12.22	Acero - Villarreal C	1:2
19.02.22	Villarreal C - Acero	0:1
17.10.21	Acero - Villarreal C	2:2
21.03.21	Villarreal C - Acero	1:1
03.02.21	Acero - Villarreal C	1:2

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