Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 6 - ROUND 25

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Patacona		Acero

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.85	2.65
	2.63	2.76	2.7
	2.64	2.76	2.7
	2.58	2.96	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.27)	2.83 ↓ (3.1)	2.67 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patacona
34.6%

Draw
31.7%

Acero
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

29.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patacona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Patacona's form might have worsened.

Acero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patacona than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Patacona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acero than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Patacona is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Acero is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Acero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Patacona won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Patacona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patacona CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
09.03.24	Roda - Patacona	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Patacona - Rayo Ibense	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Patacona - Ontinyent 1931	1:2 ✺
11.02.24	Elche Ilicitano - Patacona	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	Patacona - Utiel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW
- CD Acero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
10.03.24	Acero - Español de San Vicente	1:3 ✺
06.03.24	Acero - Soneja	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Gandía - Acero	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Castellon B - Acero	5:2 ✺
11.02.24	Acero - Villarreal C	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
28.10.23	Acero - Patacona	5:4
25.03.23	Acero - Patacona	0:0
27.11.22	Patacona - Acero	1:0

Patacona - Acero: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide