Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 20

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Høddvoll Stadion (Ulsteinvik)

Referee: Bodding A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Hødd		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.33	1.53
	4.60	4.50	1.53
	4.90	4.35	1.49
	5.07	4.76	1.56
	4.93	4.67	1.55	Watch
	5.05	4.70	1.53
	4.86	4.43	1.57	Watch
	4.70	4.50	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↑ (3.45)	4.53 ↑ (3.8)	1.53 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hødd
19.1%

Draw
20.5%

Stabæk
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

23.9%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

23.3%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hødd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hødd's form might have worsened.

Stabæk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stabæk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hødd than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hødd, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stabæk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Hødd - Stabæk Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Stabæk will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Stabæk (1.80) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stabæk will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Stabæk (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Buur O. (G) 3. Hanssen S. 6. Urnes H. 5. Mulac M. 21. Roppen A. 7. Scarcella M. 8. Kallevag T. (C) 29. Haheim-Elveseter M. 10. Skotheim I. 19. Mikkelsen S. 9. Streete C.	22. Ulla M. (G) 2. Riise F. 4. Naess N. (C) 15. Veum O. 29. Ekorness K. 23. Wendt W. 7. Solnordal O. 21. Krogstad F. 24. Hanstad J. 9. Sanyang A. 20. Rapp G.
Substitutes
27. Andresen G. 20. Berisha J. 4. Blikstad E. 23. Gjerde F. 1. Kinn T. (G) 11. Rawufu M. 24. Robertsen J.	33. Aamodt A. 8. Dahlby M. 16. Hoven A. 14. Lereng E. 1. Lokkevik K. (G) 34. Myklebust L. 28. Santos D. 5. Skjelvik J.
Coaches
Poulsen I.	Kjell A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', 🟨,
30', Solnordal O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 1 - 0, Skotheim I. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Veum O. ↓, Skjelvik J. ↑,
68', Rapp G. ↓, Aamodt A. ↑,
68', Krogstad F. ↓, Santos D. ↑,
70', Streete C. ↓, Rawufu M. ↑,
70', Hanstad J. ↓, Dahlby M. ↑,
79', Mikkelsen S. ↓, Andresen G. ↑,
79', Urnes H. ↓, Robertsen J. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Hanssen S. ⚽,
82', Wendt W. ↓, Hoven A. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Sanyang A. ⚽,
90+3', Haheim-Elveseter M. ↓, Berisha J. ↑,
90+3', Scarcella M. ↓, Blikstad E. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Hødd is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Stabæk is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hødd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stabæk is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hødd won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.8:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hødd won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Outrights of Norwegian Adeccoligaen for now

Stabaek: 0.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Stabaek	24	14	3	7	57:31	26	45
7	Hodd	24	10	4	10	40:48	-8	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IL Hødd
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.08.26	Strømsgodset - Hødd	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.08.26	Spjelkavik - Hødd	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.08.26	Hødd - Strømmen	4:3 ✺
09.08.26	Sandnes Ulf - Hødd	3:4 ✺
02.08.26	Hødd - Moss	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LWWWW
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
26.08.26	Stabæk - Ranheim	4:2 ✺
16.08.26	Egersund - Stabæk	0:4 ✺
08.08.26	Stabæk - Lyn	4:3 ✺
02.08.26	Raufoss - Stabæk	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Stabæk - Hødd	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.07.26	Stabæk - Hødd	6:0
25.10.25	Hødd - Stabæk	1:3
31.03.25	Stabæk - Hødd	1:1
25.08.13	Stabæk - Hødd	2:1
28.04.13	Hødd - Stabæk	1:0

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