Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Hødd 2		Kongsvinger 2

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.5	3.8
	1.67	4	3.5
	1.55	4.4	3.85
	1.55	4.37	4.34
	1.62	4.5	3.6
	1.52	4.7	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (2.39)	4.41 ↑ (3.74)	3.92 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hødd 2
56.8%

Draw
20.3%

Kongsvinger 2
22.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

23.8%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hødd 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hødd 2's performance.

Kongsvinger 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kongsvinger 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hødd 2 than the current prediction. (-18.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hødd 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger 2 than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kongsvinger 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	7.1%	21.4%

Hødd 2 - Kongsvinger 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Hødd 2 will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Kongsvinger 2 will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hødd 2: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Hødd 2 is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Kongsvinger 2 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hødd 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hødd 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hødd 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
02.10.22	Raufoss 2 - Hødd 2	2:0 ✺
25.09.22	Hødd 2 - Elverum	1:1 ✺
21.09.22	Hødd 2 - Raufoss 2	3:0 ✺
18.09.22	Frøya - Hødd 2	1:4 ✺
11.09.22	Hødd 2 - Brumunddal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 LTWWW
- Kongsvinger 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
04.10.22	Kongsvinger 2 - Brumunddal	4:2 ✺
24.09.22	Hønefoss - Kongsvinger 2	3:2 ✺
18.09.22	Kongsvinger 2 - Spjelkavik	4:4 ✺
11.09.22	Volda - Kongsvinger 2	3:3 ✺
06.09.22	Kongsvinger 2 - Molde 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
11.06.22	Kongsvinger 2 - Hødd 2	1:1

Hødd 2 - Kongsvinger 2