Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 14

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: NAMMO Stadion (Raufoss)

Referee: Tennoy M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Raufoss		Skeid

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.9	3.1
	2	3.5	3.25
	2.08	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2.13	3.65	3.37
	1.95	3.80	3.46	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.1
	2.05	3.89	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.93)	3.68 ↓ (3.81)	3.22 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raufoss
45.7%

Draw
25.4%

Skeid
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

24.5%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.3%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raufoss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Skeid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raufoss than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Raufoss - Skeid Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Skeid (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Raufoss will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Raufoss will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Raufoss (votes: 4 - 80%). Skeid (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Klemensson A. (G) 22. Fors V. 4. Hansen A. 3. Bonde R. 23. Selnaes J. S. 17. Nordbo S. 16. Sveen O. (C) 14. Lynum J. 8. Nelson R. 20. Bojang M. 24. Aanesland M.	1. Andersen M. (G) 22. Hoyland L. 23. Akinyemi A. 4. Steiring P. (C) 14. Toure O. 11. Bojang S. 15. Hadzic A. 6. Naustdal T. 17. Saad Y. 16. Odemarksbakken K. 10. Andersen M.
Substitutes
19. Aarflot E. 21. Agyeman Y. 10. Badjie K. 33. Dalby M. (G) 25. Engebakken T. E. 11. Fremstad N. 28. Jensen P. (G) 18. Somesi K. 29. Sorum E.	9. Delaveris F. 7. Fiksdal J. 3. Flo F. 5. Ghaedamini K. 21. Lindback M. 24. Solberg I. (G) 33. Stensland F. 27. Sunday G. 8. Yusuf H.
Coaches
Dent T.	Rislaa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Andersen M. (Pen),
39', Sveen O. 🟨,
40', Bojang M. ↓, Aarflot E. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Akinyemi A. ↓, Flo F. ↑,
55', Andersen M. ↓, Stensland F. ↑,
57', Naustdal T. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Nelson R. ⚽, Aanesland M. (A),
72', Nordbo S. ↓, Badjie K. ↑,
72', Aanesland M. ↓, Agyeman Y. ↑,
72', Naustdal T. ↓, Yusuf H. ↑,
72', Saad Y. ↓, Sunday G. ↑,
81', Toure O. ↓, Ghaedamini K. ↑,
83', Sunday G. 🟨,
90+4', Hadzic A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raufoss won 4.

Raufoss has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Skeid has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Skeid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Raufoss is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Raufoss won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:15. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Raufoss won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raufoss Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.06.25	Kongsvinger - Raufoss	2:2 ✺
21.06.25	Raufoss - Hødd	6:1 ✺
18.06.25	Lyn - Raufoss	3:2 ✺
15.06.25	Raufoss - Odd	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Sogndal - Raufoss	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWLTT
- Skeid Fotball
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Skeid - Start	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.06.25	Skeid - Aalesunds	1:1 ✺
23.06.25	Mjøndalen - Skeid	1:4 ✺
18.06.25	Skeid - Sogndal	1:4 ✺
15.06.25	Åsane - Skeid	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian NM Cup
23.04.24	Skeid - Raufoss	1:2
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
13.08.23	Skeid - Raufoss	1:2
25.06.23	Raufoss - Skeid	1:0
Club Friendly
28.01.23	Raufoss - Skeid	3:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
24.07.22	Skeid - Raufoss	2:2
26.06.22	Raufoss - Skeid	1:0
Club Friendly
02.02.22	Raufoss - Skeid	2:2

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