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Current Win Probability
Hønefoss 29.9%
Draw 12.6%
Rosenborg 57.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
14.6%
19.2%
66.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.5%
20.8%
71.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hønefoss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hønefoss's performance.
Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosenborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hønefoss than the current prediction. (-16.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hønefoss that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+14%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rosenborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hønefoss - Rosenborg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ervik S. (G) 15. Rovelstad M. 23. Hansen L. 13. Pedersen M. S. 33. Lang F. 11. Hamborg S. K. 7. Ruud E. (C) 10. Stalesen O. 8. Bjerksaeter S. 21. Nyhagen S. 14. Dunsby M.
1. Rulyte R. (G) 7. Rogde M. 31. Buberg A. 4. Aunehaugen S. (C) 30. Kokosz M. 6. Dirdal I. 15. Marcussen B. 14. Fuglem O. 16. Berre I. 10. Reeves J. 22. Nilsen C.
Substitutes
19. Anderdal A. 24. Hellumsand M. 18. Hermansen T. R. 5. Johannsdottir M. 20. Larsen C. 25. Lipsey A. 28. Obstfelder Svang H. 12. Osteras J. (G) 16. Tandberg A.
29. Fuglas M. 19. Holum R. 24. Krog H. (G) 27. Magnusdottir S. 23. Sodahl K. 44. Svanes K. 25. Vik M.
Coaches
Natvik R.
Shroot R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Kokosz M. ⚽, Nilsen C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bjerksaeter S. ↓, Larsen C. ↑,
46', Dunsby M. 🟨,
65', Dirdal I. ↓, Holum R. ↑,
65', Berre I. ↓, Vik M. ↑,
67', Rogde M. 🟨,
78', Dunsby M. ↓, Anderdal A. ↑,
84', Rogde M. ↓, Svanes K. ↑,
84', Fuglem O. ↓, Sodahl K. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Vik M. ⚽,
89', Marcussen B. ↓, Magnusdottir S. ↑,
89', Stalesen O. ↓, Obstfelder Svang H. ↑,
89', Nyhagen S. ↓, Lipsey A. ↑,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th and 3rd in the Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification: )).
Hønefoss has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Rosenborg has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this match, Rosenborg enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Hønefoss has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:16 (averaging 0.4:3.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hønefoss against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.
Norway
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Ervik S. (G) 
Lang F. 
Kokosz M. 
Marcussen B. 
Lipsey A. 
Magnusdottir S. 
Shroot R. 
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