Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 11

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Gamla Ullevi (Göteborg)

Referee: Wolf V. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Mexico	Azteca Deportes
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Sweden	Discovery+, Kanal 5, max Extra 1, Max, TV4 Play


	IFK Göteborg		Malmö

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.45	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2.05
	2.85	3.6	2.45	Watch
	2.86	3.59	2.47
	2.84	3.55	2.4	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.05
	2.85	3.58	2.37	Watch
	2.8	3.55	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.55)	3.52 ↓ (3.7)	2.33 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

IFK Göteborg
32%

Draw
27.1%

Malmö
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

25.7%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

25.5%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Göteborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in IFK Göteborg's performance.

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Malmö might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Göteborg than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with IFK Göteborg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malmö could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	21.4%	64.3%

IFK Göteborg - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Göteborg will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Malmö will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Göteborg (votes: 2 - 50%). Malmö (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Göteborg (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Göteborg (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Malmö (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bishesari E. (G) 18. Eriksson F. 13. Svensson G. (C) 3. Erlingmark A. 22. Tolf N. 23. Thordarson K. 15. Kruse D. 8. Jagne I. 17. Markovic E. 9. Fenger M. 14. Heintz T.	33. Ellborg M. (G) 2. Karlsson J. 17. Stryger J. 19. Rosler C. 25. Busanello 37. Skogmar A. 7. Rosengren O. 23. Johnsen L. (C) 8. Sigurdsson A. 29. Haksabanovic S. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T.
Substitutes
5. Bager J. 26. Brantlind B. 21. Carlen A. 16. Carlstrand L. 7. Clemmensen S. 30. Lundqvist R. 31. Mikhail D. (G) 29. Santos T. 6. Trondsen A.	22. Ali T. 16. Berg O. 38. Bolin H. 40. Busuladzic K. 10. Christiansen A. 11. Ekong E. 9. Kiese I. 6. Lewicki O. 1. Ricardo Friedrich (G)
Coaches
Billborn S.	Rydstrom H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Jagne I. 🟨,
32', Karlsson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Thordarson K. ⚽, Heintz T. (A),
60', Skogmar A. ↓, Bolin H. ↑,
60', Stryger J. ↓, Lewicki O. ↑,
60', Sigurdsson A. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
71', Markovic E. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
75', Erlingmark A. 🟨,
76', Gudjohnsen D. T. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
76', Haksabanovic S. ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
87', Eriksson F. ↓, Bager J. ↑,
87', Jagne I. ↓, Carlen A. ↑,
90+2', Johnsen L. 🟨,
90+5', Tolf N. ↓, Trondsen A. ↑,
90+9', Ali T. 🟨,
90+10', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Göteborg won 1.

Göteborg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Malmö has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Göteborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Malmö might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Göteborg: Boren A. (Overload) Dahlberg P. (Inactive) Kahed L. (Injury) Mucolli A. (Injury)

There will not play in Malmö: Botheim E. (Broken Leg) Dahlin J. (Knee Injury) Holmquist S. (Back Injury) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Göteborg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:34. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Göteborg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Göteborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
19.05.25	Degerfors - IFK Göteborg	1:3 ✺
15.05.25	IFK Göteborg - Öster	0:1 ✺
12.05.25	IFK Göteborg - Djurgården	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Mjällby - IFK Göteborg	1:0 ✺
28.04.25	IFK Göteborg - GAIS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLT
- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.05.25	Malmö - AIK	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Malmö - Halmstad	3:0 ✺
15.05.25	Värnamo - Malmö	2:2 ✺
11.05.25	Degerfors - Malmö	1:4 ✺
05.05.25	Malmö - Brommapojkarna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
16.03.25	Malmö - IFK Göteborg	3:2 ET
Swedish Allsvenskan
28.10.24	Malmö - IFK Göteborg	2:1
13.05.24	IFK Göteborg - Malmö	0:3
03.09.23	Malmö - IFK Göteborg	2:2
Club Friendly
25.06.23	Malmö - IFK Göteborg	0:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
17.04.23	IFK Göteborg - Malmö	0:1
17.10.22	IFK Göteborg - Malmö	2:1

Upcoming Matches