Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 7

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday

Location: Eleda Stadion (Malmö)

Referee: Johnson O. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 2, Max, TV4 Play


	Malmö		Brommapojkarna

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.75	6	Watch
	1.46	4.6	6
	1.49	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.48	4.77	6.41
	1.47	4.69	6.42
	1.44	4.4	6.5
	1.47	4.65	6.4	Watch
	1.48	4.7	6.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.37)	4.66 ↓ (4.93)	6.34 ↓ (7.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
64.7%

Draw
20.3%

Brommapojkarna
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

19%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

18.1%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Brommapojkarna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Malmö, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brommapojkarna than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	10.7%	10.7%

Malmö - Brommapojkarna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Brommapojkarna (5.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Brommapojkarna (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Malmö will win (22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.37% – 93.77%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Malmö will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Brommapojkarna (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ricardo Friedrich (G) 17. Stryger J. 19. Rosler C. 35. Zatterstrom N. 25. Busanello 22. Ali T. 7. Rosengren O. 23. Johnsen L. (C) 38. Bolin H. 16. Berg O. 20. Botheim E.	25. Blazevic D. (G) 21. Timossi A. 3. Hovland E. (C) 2. Karlsson H. 6. Zanden O. 10. Odefalk W. 27. Barslund K. 19. Irandust D. 31. Arrhov L. 7. Lind V. 23. Alladoh E.
Substitutes
11. Ekong E. 33. Ellborg M. (G) 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 2. Karlsson J. 9. Kiese I. 6. Lewicki O. 34. Loukili Z. 13. Olsson M. 37. Skogmar A.	4. Bjorkander E. 40. Cavallius L. (G) 77. Christensen F. 32. Cotton O. 34. Isso D. 16. Jakobsen A. 17. Kurochkin A. 33. Oppong S. 20. Vetkal M.
Coaches
Rydstrom H.	Kristiansson U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Rosengren O. 🟨,
45', Zatterstrom N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Odefalk W. 🟨,
49', 0 - 1, Alladoh E. ⚽, Zanden O. (A),
52', 0 - 2, Irandust D. ⚽, Lind V. (A),
62', Botheim E. ↓, Kiese I. ↑,
62', Zatterstrom N. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
62', Berg O. ↓, Gudjohnsen D. T. ↑,
68', Busanello 🟨,
69', Irandust D. ↓, Jakobsen A. ↑,
82', Bolin H. ↓, Skogmar A. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Johnsen L. ⚽, Ali T. (A),
85', Odefalk W. ↓, Bjorkander E. ↑,
90+2', Barslund K. 🟨,
90+2', Barslund K. ↓, Isso D. ↑,
90+3', Arrhov L. ↓, Cotton O. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Malmö is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Malmö: Christiansen A. (Inactive) Dahlin J. (Knee Injury) Holmquist S. (Back Injury) Jansson P. (Inactive) Lajqi G. (Knee Injury) Sigurdsson A. (Inactive) Tinnerholm A. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Brommapojkarna: Orqvist R. (Inactive) Tahwildaran L. (Knee Injury) Vasic N. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Malmö: Busuladzic K. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:10. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.04.25	Malmö - Öster	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	Hammarby - Malmö	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Malmö - Sirius	1:1 ✺
14.04.25	AIK - Malmö	0:0 ✺
07.04.25	Malmö - Elfsborg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLTTW
- IF Brommapojkarna
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.04.25	GAIS - Brommapojkarna	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Brommapojkarna - Värnamo	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Sirius - Brommapojkarna	0:3 ✺
06.04.25	Brommapojkarna - Hammarby	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Häcken - Brommapojkarna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
10.11.24	Malmö - Brommapojkarna	2:1
01.06.24	Brommapojkarna - Malmö	2:2
02.10.23	Malmö - Brommapojkarna	2:1
08.04.23	Brommapojkarna - Malmö	1:2
02.09.18	Brommapojkarna - Malmö	0:3
23.04.18	Malmö - Brommapojkarna	3:1
Svenska Cupen
04.03.18	Malmö - Brommapojkarna	3:1

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