Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 2 - SÖDRA GÖTALAND - ROUND 26

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	IFK Malmö		Nosaby

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.9	1.72
	3.75	4	1.72
	3.46	4.07	1.68
	3.6	4.1	1.71
	3.6	4.33	1.67
	3.54	4.05	1.75
	3.75	4	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.37)	4.06 ↑ (3.8)	1.71 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Malmö
25.1%

Draw
22.2%

Nosaby
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

23.2%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

21.3%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Nosaby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IFK Malmö than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nosaby than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nosaby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Division 2 ~ Södra Götaland (Relegation)).

IFK Malmö has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nosaby is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

IFK Malmö could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently IFK Malmö have a series of guest games.

Nosaby will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches IFK Malmö won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams IFK Malmö won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Malmö
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
15.10.23	Österlen - IFK Malmö	3:2 ✺
07.10.23	Berga - IFK Malmö	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	IFK Malmö - Rosengård 1917	1:7 ✺
22.09.23	IFK Hässleholm - IFK Malmö	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	VMA - IFK Malmö	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLLL
- Nosaby IF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
14.10.23	Nosaby - IFK Trelleborg	3:1 ✺
06.10.23	Balkan - Nosaby	3:3 ✺
01.10.23	Berga - Nosaby	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Nosaby - Österlen	1:2 ✺
15.09.23	IFK Hässleholm - Nosaby	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
11.06.23	Nosaby - IFK Malmö	2:2
Club Friendly
22.07.20	IFK Malmö - Nosaby	1:2

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