Match Info

Date: 17 May 2021, Monday


	IFK Östersunds		AIK

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.8	1.6	Watch
	5.25	3.75	1.62
	5.6	3.8	1.64	Watch
	5.4	3.65	1.62
	5.61	3.86	1.67
	5.8	3.6	1.65	Watch
	5.55	3.8	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.57 ↑ (5.3)	3.75 ↓ (3.77)	1.64 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

IFK Östersunds
17%

Draw
25.2%

AIK
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

25.1%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

20.4%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

IFK Östersunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

AIK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Östersunds than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AIK than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AIK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.7%	16.1%	74.2%

IFK Östersunds - AIK Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. IFK Östersunds will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). AIK will win (votes: 23 - 74.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AIK: 58.8% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Östersund has the most likely position - 16 (14.54%), has project points - 32, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

AIK has the most likely position - 4 (11.44%), has project points - 45, has currently - 10, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (3%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Östersund is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches AIK is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

AIK could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match AIK is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Östersund won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Östersund won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Östersunds
Swedish Allsvenskan
12.05.21	Djurgården - IFK Östersunds	2:0 ✺
09.05.21	Mjällby - IFK Östersunds	1:0 ✺
02.05.21	IFK Östersunds - Varbergs BoIS	1:2 ✺
25.04.21	Malmö - IFK Östersunds	1:1 ✺
18.04.21	IFK Östersunds - Örebro	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 LLLTW
- AIK Fotboll
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.05.21	AIK - Malmö	1:1 ✺
10.05.21	Norrköping - AIK	2:0 ✺
02.05.21	AIK - Elfsborg	1:0 ✺
25.04.21	AIK - Hammarby	2:0 ✺
19.04.21	IFK Göteborg - AIK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
04.10.20	IFK Östersunds - AIK	1:2
13.08.20	AIK - IFK Östersunds	0:1
25.08.19	IFK Östersunds - AIK	1:3
31.03.19	AIK - IFK Östersunds	0:0
01.11.18	IFK Östersunds - AIK	1:2
14.05.18	AIK - IFK Östersunds	1:1
20.08.17	IFK Östersunds - AIK	0:3

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