The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
IFK Östersunds 18.4%
Draw 23.8%
Elfsborg 57.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.4%
22.1%
60.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.5%
18.4%
72.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IFK Östersunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Östersunds than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elfsborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.4%
3.8%
80.8%
IFK Östersunds - Elfsborg Predictions
Users Predictions:
Elfsborg will win
(21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Östersund has the most likely position - 16 (73.13%), has project points - 19, has currently - 9, has a good chance of relegated (95%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Elfsborg has the most likely position - 1 (28.3%), has project points - 57, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (28%), has a chance of win league (28%).
Östersund is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Elfsborg is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Elfsborg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Elfsborg is a favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Östersund won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Östersund won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.
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