Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 11

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Borås Arena (Borås)

Referee: Sundell R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Elfsborg		Hammarby

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.70	1.81	Watch
	3.80	3.60	1.88
	3.80	3.55	1.83
	4.44	3.87	1.84
	4.2	3.96	1.82	Watch
	4.35	3.8	1.77
	3.94	3.74	1.83	Watch
	3.9	3.65	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.67)	3.73 ↑ (3.67)	1.83 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elfsborg
23.3%

Draw
25.2%

Hammarby
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

25.5%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Hammarby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	12.5%	79.2%

Elfsborg - Hammarby Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Hammarby (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hammarby will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% – 95.12%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hammarby (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Pettersson I. (C) 6. Wikstrom R. 2. Mohammed R. 4. Isherwood T. 23. Hult N. 18. Magnusson J. 10. Olsson S. 29. Kamara M. 19. Beck J. 9. Zeneli A. 21. Ostman L.	1. Hahn W. (G) 2. Skoglund H. 4. Eriksson V. 3. Winther F. 16. Persson N. 5. Tekie T. 8. Karlsson M. 9. Lind V. 20. Besara N. (C) 26. Madjed M. 7. Abraham P.
Substitutes
28. Aronsson F. 1. Erlandsson T. (G) 16. Hellemaa A. 24. Ihler F. 22. Krasniqi D. 27. Okeke V. 20. Rapp G. 25. Sigurpalsson A. 11. Silverholt T.	28. Adjei F. 6. Fofana I. 15. Hagen O. 33. Hedlof B. 27. Jakobsson F. (G) 11. Johansson O. 29. Kabore E. 31. Steinke O. 19. Vasic N.
Coaches
Hamberg B.	Rydstrom H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Magnusson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 0 - 1, Abraham P. ⚽, Lind V. (A),
69', Beck J. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
69', Zeneli A. ↓, Sigurpalsson A. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Madjed M. ⚽,
75', Besara N. ↓, Johansson O. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Sigurpalsson A. ⚽, Magnusson J. (A),
82', Ostman L. ↓, Silverholt T. ↑,
84', Abraham P. ↓, Kabore E. ↑,
84', Skoglund H. ↓, Adjei F. ↑,
84', Madjed M. ↓, Fofana I. ↑,
90', Hult N. ↓, Rapp G. ↑,
90', Wikstrom R. ↓, Hellemaa A. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Hammarby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hammarby is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Elfsborg: Frick P. (Broken ankle) Holmen S. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Hammarby: Kone S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Elfsborg: Richtner L. (Elbow Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Elfsborg won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Elfsborg won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

Hammarby: 19.55% Elfsborg: 0.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hammarby	22	13	4	5	49:20	29	43
4	Elfsborg	22	10	7	5	31:22	9	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Elfsborg
Club Friendly
28.06.26	Fredrikstad - Elfsborg	0:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
29.05.26	Örgryte - Elfsborg	2:2 ✺
25.05.26	Elfsborg - Häcken	1:1 ✺
21.05.26	Elfsborg - Mjällby	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Halmstad - Elfsborg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTTTT
- Hammarby IF Football
Club Friendly
24.06.26	Häcken - Hammarby	1:4 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
31.05.26	Häcken - Hammarby	3:2 ✺
24.05.26	Hammarby - AIK	1:2 ✺
20.05.26	GAIS - Hammarby	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Hammarby - Malmö	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
09.11.25	Hammarby - Elfsborg	3:0
31.05.25	Elfsborg - Hammarby	0:2
22.09.24	Elfsborg - Hammarby	0:0
15.04.24	Hammarby - Elfsborg	3:0
13.08.23	Hammarby - Elfsborg	1:0
03.07.23	Elfsborg - Hammarby	2:0
23.10.22	Elfsborg - Hammarby	2:1

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