The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kalmar 38%
Draw 29.6%
Elfsborg 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.1%
27.6%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
27.1%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elfsborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elfsborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
10%
70%
Kalmar - Elfsborg Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Kalmar will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Elfsborg will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Kindberg J. (G) 4. Jansson R. 39. Saetra L. 20. Dari A. 2. Larsson V. 5. Hallberg M. (C) 23. R. Gojani 7. Chourak N. 11. Olusanya A. 13. Rosenqvist C. 24. Sagoe Jr C.
31. Pettersson I. (G) 8. Holmen S. (C) 6. Wikstrom R. 4. Isherwood T. 15. Hedlund S. 18. Magnusson J. 10. Olsson S. 23. Hult N. 24. Ihler F. 11. Silverholt T. 16. Hellemaa A.
Substitutes
1. Brolin S. (G) 70. Emeka Nnamani 14. Imeri E. 21. Magashy A. 3. Overby S. 12. Ravik Z. 10. Soderback M. 6. Tyren V.
28. Aronsson F. 3. Buhari I. 1. Erlandsson T. (G) 29. Kamara M. 22. Krasniqi D. 2. Mohammed R. 27. Okeke V. 21. Ostman L. 25. Sigurpalsson A.
Coaches
Koskela T.
Hamberg B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Ihler F. ⚽, Silverholt T. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Rosenqvist C. ⚽, Sagoe Jr C. (A),
27', Chourak N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', R. Gojani 🟨,
48', Hellemaa A. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Olusanya A. ⚽, Sagoe Jr C. (A),
58', Hellemaa A. ↓, Sigurpalsson A. ↑,
58', Ihler F. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
71', Kamara M. 🟨,
72', Holmen S. ↓, Mohammed R. ↑,
73', Hallberg M. ↓, Soderback M. ↑,
79', Sagoe Jr C. ↓, Tyren V. ↑,
79', Larsson V. ↓, Overby S. ↑,
82', Isherwood T. ↓, Krasniqi D. ↑,
82', Hedlund S. ↓, Ostman L. ↑,
89', Rosenqvist C. 🟨,
90', Hult N. 🟨,
90+1', Olusanya A. ↓, Magashy A. ↑,
90+1', Rosenqvist C. ↓, Ravik Z. ↑,
90+6', Ostman L. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 3.
Recent form of Kalmar has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Elfsborg is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Kalmar: Keita A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Lawal S.
(Inactive)
Stolt M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Elfsborg: Beck J.
(Inactive)
Frick P.
(Inactive)
Zeneli A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Kalmar: Gustafsson C.
(Inactive)
Sabriye A.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kalmar won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:36. (average 1.4:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Kalmar won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 1.2:2.2).
Norway
Sweden
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Kindberg J. (G) 
Jansson R. 
Saetra L. 
Dari A. 
Chourak N. 
Sagoe Jr C. 
Magnusson J. 
Ihler F. 
Magashy A. 
Kamara M. 
Krasniqi D. 
Mohammed R. 
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