The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
IJsselmeervogels 48.4%
Draw 25.1%
Koninklijke HFC 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.1%
25.9%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
26.3%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IJsselmeervogels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in IJsselmeervogels's performance.
Koninklijke HFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Koninklijke HFC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IJsselmeervogels than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with IJsselmeervogels that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Koninklijke HFC than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Koninklijke HFC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
IJsselmeervogels - Koninklijke HFC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Schaap J. (G) 33. Van Bohemen C. 3. van der Velden J. 5. Steur D. 77. Kuisch G. 8. Butter N. 6. Schulte R. 22. Schuurman J. (C) 10. Dkidak A. 9. Beers J. 11. Hardijk M.
1. Michaelis M. (C) 2. Ploem M. 77. Morgan A. 3. Heeremans R. 7. Klomp F. 23. de Boer T. 8. Lahri O. 4. Vlak G. 6. Tros K. 87. Ladan D. 9. Donker N.
Substitutes
7. Beekman T. 20. Kaarsgaren B. (G) 14. Ruizendaal J. 2. van de Groep G. 15. van den Anker V. 23. van Gorkom B. 21. van Hees M.
11. Beelen I. 21. Bijen T. 10. Dijkstra C. 16. Muller J. 24. Mussche S. 14. Mwenda R. 12. van der Sar J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Schulte R. ⚽, Hardijk M. (A),
40', Ladan D. 🟨,
43', de Boer T. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Van Bohemen C. ⚽, Hardijk M. (A),
45', Heeremans R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 3 - 0, Beers J. ⚽, Hardijk M. (A),
57', Vlak G. ↓, Bijen T. ↑,
57', Lahri O. ↓, Dijkstra C. ↑,
58', de Boer T. ↓, Mwenda R. ↑,
68', Beers J. ↓, van den Anker V. ↑,
69', Hardijk M. ↓, van Hees M. ↑,
70', Donker N. ↓, Beelen I. ↑,
72', Morgan A. 🟨,
78', Tros K. ↓, Muller J. ↑,
78', Schulte R. ↓, Beekman T. ↑,
78', Dkidak A. ↓, Ruizendaal J. ↑,
84', Steur D. ↓, van Gorkom B. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IJsselmeervogels won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, IJsselmeervogels won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, IJsselmeervogels won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).