Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	INCA-Aruba		Cacahuatique

	1	X	2
	3.30	3.10	2.00
	3.70	3.30	1.84
	3.59	3.20	2.12
	3.64	3.12	2.11	Watch
	3.55	3.00	2.08
	3.58	3.33	2.05
	3.50	3.00	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.25)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	2.03 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

INCA-Aruba
25.8%

Draw
29.1%

Cacahuatique
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

28.1%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

27.9%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

INCA-Aruba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Cacahuatique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for INCA-Aruba than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacahuatique than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

INCA Aruba - Cacahuatique Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Urrutia J. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 0 - 1, Sosa H. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 8).

INCA-Aruba is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cacahuatique has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Cacahuatique has had a series of home games.

Cacahuatique could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Inca Aruba	14	4	4	6	12:23	-11	16
11	Cacahuatique	14	2	5	7	14:24	-10	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD INCA-Aruba
El Salvador Primera Division
21.08.26	Inter Santa Tecla - INCA-Aruba	4:1 ✺
16.08.26	INCA-Aruba - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - INCA-Aruba	2:0 ✺
02.08.26	INCA-Aruba - CD FAS	0:4 ✺
29.07.26	Municipal Limeño - INCA-Aruba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLLL
- CD Cacahuatique
El Salvador Primera Division
22.08.26	Cacahuatique - Municipal Limeño	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Alianza San Miguel - Cacahuatique	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Cacahuatique - Fuerte San Francisco	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Cacahuatique - Águila	2:2 ✺
28.07.26	Cacahuatique - Atlético Balboa	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTTTW

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