The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
IR Reykjavik 21%
Draw 22.1%
Fylkir 56.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.5%
24.1%
49.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.9%
23.6%
50.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IR Reykjavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that IR Reykjavik's form might have worsened.
Fylkir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fylkir's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for IR Reykjavik than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fylkir than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fylkir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
12.5%
75%
IR Reykjavik - Fylkir Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. IR Reykjavik will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Fylkir will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fylkir: 45% – 100%.
1. Sigurjonsson V. (G) 61. Bjarkason O. 17. Einarsson O. 28. Hlynsson O. 23. Kristinsson A. (C) 3. Kristjansson H. 6. Marteinsson K. 19. Matthiasson H. 10. Palsson S. 25. Sigurdsson J. 8. Sigurhjartarson E.
1. Helgason O. (G) 77. Arnarsson B. 3. Asthorsson A. (C) 17. Eythorsson B. 23. Gudbjornsson A. 18. Gunnarsson N. 14. Gunnarsson T. 7. Hilmarsson M. 6. Leosson G. 92. Sigfusson K. 70. Tyrfingsson G.
Substitutes
33. Atlason I. 4. Gunnarsson S. 5. Hallgrimsson H. 44. Hardarson A. 14. Ivarsson V. 46. Shihab T. 2. Solorzano A.
10. Gardarsson B. 19. Gislason A. 13. Ingimundarson T. 20. Oskarsson T. 30. Sigtryggsson K. (G) 8. Traustason D. 9. Wohler E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Sigurhjartarson E. ⚽, Matthiasson H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Bjarkason O. ⚽,
52', 🟨,
54', Eythorsson B. ↓, Traustason D. ↑,
81', Arnarsson B. ↓, Oskarsson T. ↑,
81', Gunnarsson N. ↓, Wohler E. ↑,
87', Bjarkason O. ↓, Solorzano A. ↑,
87', Sigurhjartarson E. ↓, Atlason I. ↑,
90', Palsson S. ↓, Ivarsson V. ↑,
90', Matthiasson H. ↓, Hardarson A. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IR Reykjavik won 2.
IR Reykjavik is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Fylkir has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Fylkir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Fylkir is the team to beat.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, IR Reykjavik won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, IR Reykjavik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
Watch
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Sigurjonsson V. (G) 
Shihab T. 
Solorzano A. 
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