The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
IR Reykjavik 58.9%
Draw 20.9%
Leiknir Reykjavík 20.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.6%
23.7%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
23.7%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
IR Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in IR Reykjavik's performance.
Leiknir Reykjavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leiknir Reykjavík might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for IR Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with IR Reykjavik that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiknir Reykjavík than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leiknir Reykjavík could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
IR Reykjavik - Leiknir Reykjavík Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sigurjonsson V. (G) 61. Bjarkason O. 17. Einarsson O. 5. Hallgrimsson H. 9. Helgason B. 23. Kristinsson A. (C) 3. Kristjansson H. 11. Magnusson G. M. 6. Marteinsson K. 25. Sigurdsson J. 8. Sigurhjartarson E.
1. Olafsson O. (G) 33. Agustsson A. 3. Bogdanovic B. 7. Burknason B. 5. Halldorsson D. (C) 19. Hardarson A. 43. Hlifarsson K. S. 55. Kjartansson A. 16. Petursson V. 29. Stefansson G. 9. Tjorvason J.
Substitutes
18. Bergmann T. H. 27. Hlynsson J. (G) 14. Ivarsson V. 10. Palsson S. 7. Santos I. 46. Shihab T. 2. Solorzano A.
17. Arnarson A. 21. Benediktsson E. 12. Gorski J. (G) 20. Gunnarsson D. 80. Gurung K. 22. Jonsson T. 4. Veselinovic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
7', Agustsson A. 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, Sigurhjartarson E. (Penalty Awarded),
7', Kristinsson A. 🟨,
20', 2 - 0, Magnusson G. M. ⚽, Sigurhjartarson E. (A),
25', 3 - 0, Helgason B. ⚽, Einarsson O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', Halldorsson D. 🟨,
52', Marteinsson K. 🟨,
57', Petursson V. ↓, Veselinovic M. ↑,
57', Agustsson A. ↓, Arnarson A. ↑,
57', Kjartansson A. ↓, Benediktsson E. ↑,
57', Tjorvason J. ↓, Jonsson T. ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Hlifarsson K. S. ⚽, Burknason B. (A),
62', Hallgrimsson H. ↓, Shihab T. ↑,
64', Shihab T. 🟨,
73', Bjarkason O. ↓, Bergmann T. H. ↑,
73', Magnusson G. M. ↓, Palsson S. ↑,
83', Hlifarsson K. S. ↓, Gunnarsson D. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Burknason B. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Sigurhjartarson E. ↓, Solorzano A. ↑,
87', Sigurjonsson V. ↓, Hlynsson J. ↑,
90+2', Arnarson A. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, IR Reykjavik won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Leiknir R may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, IR Reykjavik is considered a favorite.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, IR Reykjavik won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 0.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, IR Reykjavik won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Leiknir Reykjavík - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 27.67%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.