Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 22

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Mikheil Meskhi Stadium (Tbilisi)


	Iberia 1999		Dinamo Tbilisi

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.25	2.50
	2.15	3.10	2.95	Watch
	2.66	3.50	2.54
	2.36	3.33	2.76	Watch
	2.55	3.30	2.50
	2.57	3.46	2.57	Watch
	2.44	3.20	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.27)	3.31 ↑ (3.18)	2.62 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iberia 1999
37.4%

Draw
27.7%

Dinamo Tbilisi
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

28.5%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

27.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iberia 1999 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Dinamo Tbilisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iberia 1999 than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Tbilisi than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Iberia 1999 - Dinamo Tbilisi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Makaridze G. (G) 40. Kobuladze G. 3. Cancar P. 5. Jinjolava J. (C) 33. Tiboue J. 27. Kutsia G. 8. Kardava B. 18. Lucas Cafe 19. Sikharulashvili N. 10. Natchkebia Z. 9. Dzagania A.	20. Flores L. (G) 17. Psaltis P. 27. Kurdic N. 4. Ugrekhelidze N. 13. Pourzitidis M. 23. Kankava J. 6. Leo Santos 22. Ninua N. (C) 24. Osei B. 14. Do Couto M. 10. Kharaishvili G.
Substitutes
26. Beridze G. 30. Bochorishvili N. 29. Chikhradze L. 17. Ende S. 28. Khechikashvili T. 12. Kukalia G. 23. Kuliyev E. 7. Kvartskhava D. 1. Megrelishvili T. (G)	28. Aleksidze R. 29. Danelia R. 34. Gbomadu M. 26. Gogua G. 33. Houri L. 3. Kalandadze A. 42. Tartarashvili S. (G) 11. Vatsadze M. 8. Welton
Coaches
Demchenko A.	Ketsbaia T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Do Couto M. ⚽, Kharaishvili G. (A),
13', Pourzitidis M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Leo Santos ↓, Welton ↑,
46', Osei B. ↓, Vatsadze M. ↑,
46', Kobuladze G. 🟨,
53', Ugrekhelidze N. 🟨,
57', Kutsia G. ↓, Kuliyev E. ↑,
57', Kobuladze G. ↓, Ende S. ↑,
68', Kankava J. ↓, Houri L. ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Vatsadze M. ⚽,
72', Do Couto M. ↓, Gbomadu M. ↑,
72', Lucas Cafe ↓, Beridze G. ↑,
78', Flores L. 🟨,
79', 1 - 2, Jinjolava J. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Natchkebia Z. 🟨,
82', Kharaishvili G. ↓, Kalandadze A. ↑,
88', Tiboue J. ↓, Chikhradze L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iberia 1999 won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Iberia 1999 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Iberia 1999 has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Iberia 1999 won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Iberia 1999 won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dinamo Tbilisi	27	13	9	5	45:30	15	48
4	Iberia 1999	27	14	4	9	38:30	8	46

Last Results with these Odds

Iberia 1999 - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 39.91%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iberia 1999
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
21.09.26	Rustavi - Iberia 1999	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Iberia 1999 - Dila Gori	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Iberia 1999 - Spaeri	1:0 ✺
09.09.26	Dinamo Batumi - Iberia 1999	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Iberia 1999 - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW
- Dinamo Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
19.09.26	Samgurali Tskhaltubo - Dinamo Tbilisi	2:3 ✺
14.09.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Gagra	4:0 ✺
10.09.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Meshakhte Tkibuli	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Dila Gori	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Super Cup
27.06.26	Iberia 1999 - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:0
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
16.05.26	Dinamo Tbilisi - Iberia 1999	2:0
15.03.26	Iberia 1999 - Dinamo Tbilisi	0:0
26.11.25	Iberia 1999 - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:0
19.09.25	Dinamo Tbilisi - Iberia 1999	2:1
20.05.25	Iberia 1999 - Dinamo Tbilisi	1:0
09.04.25	Dinamo Tbilisi - Iberia 1999	1:2

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