Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Ibiza		Málaga

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.5
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	2	3.2	3.75
	2.08	3.23	4
	1.98	3.23	4
	1.95	3.26	3.82
	1.95	3.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.07)	3.2 ↑ (2.88)	3.74 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
46.6%

Draw
28.8%

Málaga
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

30.6%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

30.5%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Ibiza - Málaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Sequeira P. (G) 17. Medina U. 23. Escassi A. 22. Pepe 5. Jimenez J. 19. Soko P. 21. Eugeni 14. Gallar A. 8. Fausto A. 20. Arroyo R. 9. Obolskiy N.	1. Herrero A. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 20. Monte N. 25. Murillo D. 18. Sanchez D. 10. Larrubia D. 16. Rodriguez G. 22. Lorenzo D. 21. Hernandez Garcia J. 17. Dioni 19. Fernandez Jaen R.
Substitutes
11. Abde 2. Arguelles D. 7. Camara S. 10. Jamelli 15. Menargues J. 12. Neskes 3. Olaortua I. 18. Omoigui C. 26. Prats I. (G) 1. Reynet B. (G)	7. Abaida H. 26. Cordero A. 14. Garcia V. 27. Jesus 13. Lopez C. (G) 15. Moussa D. 3. Ouacharaf B. 33. Recio A. 9. Zuniga L.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Ibiza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Málaga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ibiza will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ibiza won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ibiza won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.11.23	Mérida AD - Ibiza	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.11.23	Villanovense - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.10.23	Ibiza - Intercity	1:3 ✺
22.10.23	Granada B - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Ibiza - Recreativo Huelva	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW
- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.11.23	Málaga - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Barakaldo - Málaga	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.10.23	Antequera - Málaga	0:2 ✺
21.10.23	Málaga - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
12.10.23	Málaga - Melilla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
27.05.23	Málaga - Ibiza	1:1
11.12.22	Ibiza - Málaga	1:1
22.01.22	Málaga - Ibiza	0:5
22.08.21	Ibiza - Málaga	2:2

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