Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 8

Date: 12 October 2023, Thursday


	Málaga		Melilla

	1	X	2
	1.36	3.8	8
	1.35	4.2	7.75
	1.36	4.33	9
	1.36	4.55	9.45
	1.32	4.6	9.4
	1.36	4.2	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.42)	4.28 ↑ (3.95)	8.57 ↑ (6.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
67.9%

Draw
21.4%

Melilla
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

23%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

21.6%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Málaga - Melilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (G) 2. Gabilondo J. 20. Monte N. 5. Juande 18. Sanchez D. 10. Larrubia D. 8. Juanpe 12. Molina M. 11. Villodres K. 9. Zuniga L. 17. Dioni	1. Montoya J. (G) 18. Siddiki O. 19. Rodriguez M. 16. Caro J. 3. Yuste A. 15. Martin D. 7. Garcia M. 5. Masogo A. 10. Gonzalez J. 20. Garcia D. 11. Vinicius Tanque
Substitutes
7. Abaida H. 19. Fernandez Jaen R. 4. Galilea E. 27. Jesus 13. Lopez C. (G) 22. Lorenzo D. 15. Moussa D. 25. Murillo D. 3. Ouacharaf B. 16. Rodriguez G. 23. Sangalli L.	23. Cantarero O. 22. Gnali J. 12. Hernandez D. 21. Hernandez J. 9. Jose Enrique 2. Pepe Romero 17. Perez S. 13. Salcedo J. (G) 24. Serrano J. (G) 4. Suarez D.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Málaga in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Melilla is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Málaga is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Málaga to win the game is with odds 1.34.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Málaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Málaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.10.23	Recreativo Huelva - Málaga	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Málaga - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Linares Deportivo - Málaga	0:1 ✺
16.09.23	Málaga - Granada B	3:0 ✺
10.09.23	Atlético Baleares - Málaga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWWW
- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.10.23	Melilla - Intercity	1:2 ✺
01.10.23	Ceuta - Melilla	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Melilla - Algeciras	1:2 ✺
17.09.23	Melilla - Recreativo Huelva	0:0 ✺
10.09.23	Mérida AD - Melilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.08.19	Málaga - Melilla	1:0

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