Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ibiza		Teruel

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.4	6
	1.58	3.55	5.7
	1.65	3.54	5.2
	2.23	3.17	3.20	Watch
	1.61	3.49	6.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.23)	3.43 ↑ (3.17)	5.25 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
54.6%

Draw
27.5%

Teruel
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.3%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

29.7%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ibiza's performance.

Teruel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Teruel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ibiza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Teruel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ibiza - Teruel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 17. Medina U. (C) 18. Indias I. 4. Monjonell E. 16. Pedreno M. 3. Albert J. 23. Gomez E. 11. Castillo F. 14. Fede 7. Bebe 9. Davo	1. Palop A. (G) 22. Joseda 4. Van Rijn N. 15. Rodriguez A. 18. del Moral A. (C) 23. Royo M. 10. Sutherland T. 16. Albisua H. 14. Relu 11. Alvaro Merencio 9. Arguigue Safsati A.
Substitutes
13. Belman (G) 8. del Olmo I. 2. Diez S. 21. Errahaly M. 12. Garcia D. 5. Gonzalez Nacho 22. Joao Fersura 27. Pugliese P. 25. Torrelavid C. (G)	8. Blesa Alex 3. Fondarella D. 5. Goyo Medina 7. Moreno S. 21. Padilla J. 6. Redon H. 13. Ruben Galvez (G) 17. Traore M. 2. Vigaray C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Arguigue Safsati A. 🟨,
57', Alvaro Merencio 🟨,
60', Rodriguez A. ↓, Padilla J. ↑,
60', Alvaro Merencio ↓, Blesa Alex ↑,
61', Palop A. 🟨,
71', 0 - 1, Blesa Alex (Pen),
75', Gomez E. ↓, Joao Fersura ↑,
75', Indias I. ↓, del Olmo I. ↑,
79', Medina U. ↓, Diez S. ↑,
79', Sutherland T. ↓, Redon H. ↑,
83', Castillo F. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
83', Fede ↓, Errahaly M. ↑,
88', Royo M. 🟨,
90', Arguigue Safsati A. ↓, Goyo Medina ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).

Ibiza has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Teruel is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Ibiza is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Ibiza - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.66%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.10.25	Real Murcia - Ibiza	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Ibiza	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Ibiza - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Atlético Madrid B - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Ibiza - Antequera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLT
- CD Teruel
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.10.25	Teruel - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Sabadell - Teruel	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Teruel - Hércules	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Teruel - CE Europa	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Teruel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTWWT

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