The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Murcia 43.7%
Draw 29.8%
Ibiza 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
29.2%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
24.5%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Murcia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Real Murcia - Ibiza Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 18. Vicente D. 4. Lopez A. 6. Gonzalez A. 2. Mier J. 3. Romero C. 10. Gomez I. 22. Juan Carlos 7. Moyita S. 20. Zenitagoia E. 23. Bosilj D.
1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 17. Medina U. (C) 16. Pedreno M. 4. Monjonell E. 18. Indias I. 3. Albert J. 23. Gomez E. 14. Fede 6. del Pozo D. 7. Bebe 20. El Ftouhi S.
Substitutes
32. Adebayo K. 16. Antonio David 9. Benito P. A. P. 11. Bustos A. 30. Joao Pedro Palmberg 35. Kajaia S. (G) 14. Leon P. 19. Matheus Cadorini 26. Perez H.
13. Belman (G) 10. Castillo F. 9. Davo 8. del Olmo I. 2. Diez S. 21. Errahaly M. 12. Garcia D. 5. Gonzalez Nacho 22. Joao Fersura 27. Pugliese P. 25. Torrelavid C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', del Pozo D. 🟨,
10', del Pozo D. 🟨,
11', Fede 🟨,
31', 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Fede (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Juan Carlos ↓, Joao Pedro Palmberg ↑,
46', Vicente D. ↓, Benito P. A. P. ↑,
49', Gomez I. 🟨,
53', 0 - 2, Medina U. ⚽,
58', Indias I. 🟨,
61', Gomez I. ↓, Matheus Cadorini ↑,
61', Zenitagoia E. ↓, Leon P. ↑,
62', 🟨,
65', Fede ↓, Gonzalez Nacho ↑,
70', Bebe ↓, Diez S. ↑,
70', Gomez E. ↓, Errahaly M. ↑,
76', El Ftouhi S. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
76', Indias I. ↓, Davo ↑,
77', Albert J. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 2.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Murcia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Murcia might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Murcia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).
Spain
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Gazzaniga G. (G) 
Vicente D. 
Bosilj D. 
Bebe 
El Ftouhi S. 
Joao Pedro Palmberg 
Kajaia S. (G) 
Errahaly M. 
Pugliese P. 
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