Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ibiza		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	2.05	3.15	3.5
	2.02	3.23	3.83
	2.01	3.35	3.65	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.6
	1.99	3.1	3.64
	1.96	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.86)	3.13 ↓ (3.25)	3.62 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
45.8%

Draw
29.1%

Villarreal B
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

28.1%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

28.2%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Ibiza - Villarreal B Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ibiza will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Villarreal B will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ibiza (votes: 3 - 50%). Villarreal B (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 3. Albert J. 7. Bebe 9. Davo 6. del Pozo D. 10. Gallar A. 12. Garcia D. 23. Gomez E. 5. Gonzalez Nacho 18. Indias I. 17. Medina U.	25. Kinareykin Y. (G) 2. Budesca D. 8. Diatta A. 30. Garcia A. 11. Lopez H. 7. Moreno V. (C) 3. Ortiz E. 16. Pascual P. 6. Spatz L. M. 23. Valou J. 22. Viveros F.
Substitutes
11. Castillo F. 8. del Olmo I. 2. Diez S. 20. El Ftouhi S. 21. Errahaly M. 14. Fede 22. Joao Fersura 4. Monjonell E. 16. Pedreno M. 27. Pugliese P. 19. Sene J. 25. Torrelavid C. (G)	19. Barry M. 33. Bonafe C. 20. Curro 26. Gaitan J. 5. Gil F. 35. Moreira Y. (G) 9. Rubio A. 4. Sierra I. 15. Tidiane Thiam C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Garcia D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gomez E. ↓, Joao Fersura ↑,
46', Garcia D. ↓, Sene J. ↑,
46', Gallar A. ↓, del Olmo I. ↑,
54', Gonzalez Nacho 🟨,
68', Lopez H. ↓, Gaitan J. ↑,
71', Garcia A. ↓, Rubio A. ↑,
71', Albert J. ↓, Errahaly M. ↑,
76', Gaitan J. 🟨,
80', Davo ↓, El Ftouhi S. ↑,
83', Bonafe C. 🟨,
90+6', Valou J. 🟨,
90+8', Joao Fersura 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Ibiza is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 1.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ibiza won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Ibiza - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 48.99%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.12.25	Sabadell - Ibiza	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ibiza - Algeciras	3:0 ✺
23.11.25	Ibiza - CE Europa	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Ibiza - Betis B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWTTT
- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.12.25	Villarreal B - Teruel	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Villarreal B	0:3 ✺
21.11.25	Villarreal B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Tarazona - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Villarreal B - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.02.25	Villarreal B - Ibiza	1:2
24.08.24	Ibiza - Villarreal B	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
11.03.23	Ibiza - Villarreal B	0:0
20.11.22	Villarreal B - Ibiza	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.03.21	Villarreal B - Ibiza	0:3
10.01.21	Ibiza - Villarreal B	2:0
Club Friendly
07.08.19	Ibiza - Villarreal B	2:2

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