Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Ibiza		Algeciras

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.1	4.33
	1.8	3.2	4.45
	1.82	3.31	4.72
	1.67	3.50	5.34	Watch
	1.77	3.2	4.54
	1.76	3.14	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.67)	3.24 ↓ (3.5)	4.65 ↓ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
51.9%

Draw
28.3%

Algeciras
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

26.7%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

25%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Ibiza - Algeciras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 2. Diez S. 18. Indias I. 5. Gonzalez Nacho 3. Albert J. 23. Gomez E. 6. del Pozo D. 12. Garcia D. 11. Castillo F. 7. Bebe 9. Davo	1. Moreno I. (G) 22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 6. Mayorga A. 4. Coch A. 11. Sanchez T. 19. Obeng I. 24. Castro O. 7. Rastrojo J. 8. Turrillo I. 23. Riley J. 9. Gonzaga M.
Substitutes
8. del Olmo I. 20. El Ftouhi S. 21. Errahaly M. 14. Fede 10. Gallar A. 15. Glazer T. 24. Muller S. 16. Pedreno M. 27. Pugliese P. 19. Sene J. 25. Torrelavid C. (G)	2. Arauz C. 10. Garrido D. 16. Gomez A. 3. Marquez J. 5. Montes E. 14. Nader A. 30. Perez M. (G) 15. Ruiz V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', Albert J. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Davo ⚽,
21', Riley J. ↓, Garrido D. ↑,
41', Coch A. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Castillo F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Gonzalez Nacho 🟨,
63', Adot Barandiaran P. A. ↓, Ruiz V. ↑,
63', Coch A. ↓, Arauz C. ↑,
64', Albert J. ↓, Gallar A. ↑,
64', Davo ↓, El Ftouhi S. ↑,
65', Gomez E. ↓, Errahaly M. ↑,
68', Mayorga A. 🟨,
71', Rastrojo J. ↓, Nader A. ↑,
76', Castillo F. ↓, Sene J. ↑,
88', 3 - 0, El Ftouhi S. ⚽,
90+1', del Pozo D. ↓, Fede ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 1.

Ibiza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Algeciras is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Algeciras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ibiza is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ibiza won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ibiza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.11.25	Ibiza - CE Europa	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Ibiza - Betis B	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Tarazona - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Quintanar del Rey - Ibiza	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTTTL
- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.11.25	Algeciras - Atlético Sanluqueño	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Juventud de Torremolinos - Algeciras	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Algeciras - Antequera	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Eldense - Algeciras	3:2 ✺
25.10.25	Algeciras - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
16.03.25	Algeciras - Ibiza	0:0
15.12.24	Ibiza - Algeciras	0:1
10.03.24	Ibiza - Algeciras	2:2
10.12.23	Algeciras - Ibiza	0:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
27.05.18	Ibiza - Algeciras	2:1
20.05.18	Algeciras - Ibiza	0:1

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