Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 12

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Municipal de Tarazona (Tarazona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Tarazona		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.7	2.8
				Watch
	2.58	2.92	2.82
	2.68	2.89	3.05
	2.30	3.13	3.10	Watch
	2.67	2.83	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.3)	2.89 ↓ (3.13)	2.94 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarazona
36.3%

Draw
32.1%

Villarreal B
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

29.7%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

30.6%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Villarreal B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tarazona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Tarazona - Villarreal B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Josele (G) 2. Lopez A. 5. Traore B. 4. Trilles M. 14. Borge A. 21. Nieto C. 23. Rodriguez D. 15. Alonso I. 6. Carrasco O. 10. Aguero 9. Cubillas D.	1. Gomez R. (G) 2. Budesca D. 4. Sierra I. 23. Valou J. 3. Ortiz E. 7. Moreno V. 8. Diatta A. 22. Viveros F. 28. Macia C. 9. Rubio A. 30. Garcia A.
Substitutes
13. Amigo A. (G) 19. Armero S. 27. Fita A. 11. Gomez J. 20. Martinez J. 8. Ramon A. 7. Soto D. 22. Vaquero	19. Barry M. 20. Curro 14. Fores A. 26. Gaitan J. 5. Gil F. 11. Lopez H. 35. Moreira Y. (G) 16. Pascual P. 6. Spatz L. M. 15. Tidiane Thiam C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Diatta A. ⚽,
37', Trilles M. 🟨,
39', Cubillas D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Sierra I. 🟨,
53', Lopez A. 🟨,
56', Diatta A. 🟨,
56', 🟥,
58', Garcia A. ↓, Pascual P. ↑,
61', Rodriguez D. ↓, Armero S. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Armero S. ⚽,
74', Alonso I. ↓, Soto D. ↑,
74', Cubillas D. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
74', Lopez A. ↓, Ramon A. ↑,
79', Rubio A. ↓, Gaitan J. ↑,
81', Valou J. 🟨,
81', 🟨,
90+1', Traore B. ↓, Vaquero ↑,
90+2', Moreno V. ↓, Fores A. ↑,
90+2', Viveros F. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
90+10', 2 - 1, Carrasco O. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 7)

Tarazona has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Villarreal B is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tarazona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tarazona might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Villarreal B - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.96%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.11.25	Sabadell - Tarazona	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Tarazona - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Ebro - Tarazona	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.10.25	Tarazona - Betis B	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Tarazona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTLWL
- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.11.25	Villarreal B - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Cartagena - Villarreal B	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Villarreal B - Antequera	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Hércules - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Villarreal B - Betis B	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWTLW

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