Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 27

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadi Municipal de Can Misses (Ibiza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Ibiza		Yeclano Deportivo

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.3	5.25
	1.77	3.25	4
	1.7	3.4	5
	1.7	3.36	5.52
	1.66	3.42	5.18	Watch
	1.65	3.52	5.19
	1.7	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2)	3.38 ↑ (3)	5.02 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibiza
54.5%

Draw
27.2%

Yeclano Deportivo
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

28.7%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ibiza's performance.

Yeclano Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yeclano Deportivo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ibiza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeclano Deportivo than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yeclano Deportivo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ibiza - Yeclano Deportivo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 17. Medina U. 20. Indias I. 3. Molina G. 24. Albert J. 16. Olabe R. 6. Alvarez J. 18. Lopez J. 10. Gallar A. 15. Bebe 12. Dauda M.	1. Martinez I. (G) 2. Sanchez A. 6. Mayorga A. 4. Gabri 19. Errahaly M. 8. Juanje 21. Satoca J. 22. Sutherland T. 10. Perez P. 27. Martinez R. 17. Solsona J.
Substitutes
11. Astals D. 13. Belman (G) 25. Chekotun A. (G) 19. del Olmo I. 14. Domenech M. 23. Escassi A. 21. Eugeni 8. Gori 4. Monjonell E. 7. Quique 22. Zarzana A.	13. Marti B. (G) 16. Martin J. 5. Masogo A. 3. Morros 9. Naranjo J. 23. Serpeta 15. Traore M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', Satoca J. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Albert J. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Gallar A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sutherland T. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
46', Martinez R. ↓, Serpeta ↑,
46', Solsona J. ↓, Naranjo J. ↑,
62', Albert J. 🟨,
63', Perez P. ↓, Masogo A. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Errahaly M. ⚽,
69', Medina U. 🟨,
70', Gallar A. 🟨,
70', Gallar A. ↓, Zarzana A. ↑,
70', Bebe ↓, Eugeni ↑,
70', Medina U. ↓, Astals D. ↑,
73', Mayorga A. 🟨,
82', Satoca J. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
82', Albert J. ↓, Monjonell E. ↑,
85', Naranjo J. (Pen),
87', Lopez J. ↓, Gori ↑,
90+3', Astals D. 🟨,
90+4', Errahaly M. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 11).

Ibiza in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Yeclano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ibiza is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ibiza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Last Results with these Odds

Yeclano Deportivo - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 25%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.03.25	Real Murcia - Ibiza	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Ibiza - Atlético Sanluqueño	4:2 ✺
15.02.25	Betis B - Ibiza	1:3 ✺
09.02.25	Ibiza - Antequera	5:3 ✺
02.02.25	Villarreal B - Ibiza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWWWW
- Yeclano Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.03.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
22.02.25	Alcoyano - Yeclano Deportivo	0:0 ✺
14.02.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Marbella	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Fuenlabrada - Yeclano Deportivo	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Hércules - Yeclano Deportivo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.09.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Ibiza	0:1

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