Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Referee: Riu G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Villarreal B		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.50	3.25
	1.85	3.30	3.50
	1.98	3.30	3.15
	1.95	3.42	3.67
	2.09	3.49	3.28	Watch
	1.93	3.35	3.60
	2.05	3.58	3.33
	1.87	3.40	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.89)	3.42 ↓ (3.46)	3.4 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
46.5%

Draw
26.7%

Ibiza
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

26.8%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

26.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Villarreal B - Ibiza Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Ibiza (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ibiza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kinareykin Y. (G) 14. Fores A. 5. Garcia A. 4. Pujol E. 3. Ortiz E. (C) 6. Pascual P. 8. Tidiane Thiam C. 17. El Jmili N. 20. Barattucci N. 7. Gaitan J. 9. Garcia A.	1. Prieto A. (G) 2. Busto P. 4. Blasco J. 24. Ruiz E. 3. Garcia V. 10. Yoldi A. 18. Astals D. 6. Calavera J. 17. Valls T. (C) 9. Justo M. 21. Lazo J.
Substitutes
24. Arguigue Safsati A. 19. Barry M. 23. Diallo M. 2. Encuentra J. 22. Fofana D. 18. Gomez V. 21. Keita M. 13. Quevedo A. (G) 12. Sanchez N. 16. Valls A. 10. Viveros F.	23. Almenara G. 15. Curbelo E. 7. Eslava J. 5. Fadel I. 22. Modesto H. 11. Nsukula G. 20. Ortiz P. 13. Stamatakis D. (G) 19. Varela I. 31. Vlad R. (G)
Coaches
Albelda D.	Llona R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Justo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Tidiane Thiam C. 🟨,
51', Busto P. ↓, Almenara G. ↑,
61', Lazo J. ↓, Varela I. ↑,
61', Calavera J. ↓, Fadel I. ↑,
65', Barattucci N. ↓, Viveros F. ↑,
70', El Jmili N. ↓, Barry M. ↑,
73', Astals D. ↓, Ortiz P. ↑,
73', Justo M. ↓, Eslava J. ↑,
74', Fadel I. 🟨,
81', 0 - 1, Ortiz P. ⚽,
84', Garcia A. ↓, Arguigue Safsati A. ↑,
84', Pascual P. ↓, Fofana D. ↑,
90', Ortiz P. 🟨,
90+5', Pujol E. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - LaLiga2 and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal B won 0.

Villarreal B arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Ibiza has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Villarreal B is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Villarreal B has recorded 1 win, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:10 (averaging 0.6:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Villarreal B against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 2:5 goals (averaging 0.5:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Villarreal B	7	4	2	1	15:9	6	14
10	UD Ibiza	7	3	1	3	9:9	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.09.26	Atlético Madrid B - Villarreal B	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Villarreal B - Antequera	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Huesca - Villarreal B	0:3 ✺
04.09.26	Villarreal B - Algeciras	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Rayo Majadahonda - Villarreal B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTWWW
- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.09.26	Ibiza - Zaragoza	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Real Jaén - Ibiza	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Ibiza - Sant Andreu	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Ibiza - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
30.08.26	Antequera - Ibiza	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.04.26	Villarreal B - Ibiza	0:0
14.12.25	Ibiza - Villarreal B	0:0
02.02.25	Villarreal B - Ibiza	1:2
24.08.24	Ibiza - Villarreal B	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
11.03.23	Ibiza - Villarreal B	0:0
20.11.22	Villarreal B - Ibiza	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
21.03.21	Villarreal B - Ibiza	0:3

Villarreal B - Ibiza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide