Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 11

Date: 11 July 2025, Friday


	Ibrachina U20		Tanabi U20

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.75	5.5
	1.37	4.55	6.3
	1.36	4.38	6.22
				Watch
	1.31	4.9	7.55
	1.4	5	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)	4.72 ↓ (5)	6.27 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ibrachina U20
66.3%

Draw
19.2%

Tanabi U20
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

18.4%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

14.5%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ibrachina U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Tanabi U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibrachina U20 than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ibrachina U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tanabi U20 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tanabi U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ibrachina U20 - Tanabi U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Maurinho ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Daniel Santos ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, Maurinho ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
48', 3 - 1, Fernando L. ⚽,
59', 4 - 1, Geres Matheus ⚽,
62', 5 - 1, Maurinho ⚽,
67', 5 - 2, ⚽,
88', 6 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Ibrachina U20 is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ibrachina FC U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
05.07.25	XV de Jaú U20 - Ibrachina U20	1:1 ✺
27.06.25	Ibrachina U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20	2:2 ✺
20.06.25	Grêmio Prudente U20 - Ibrachina U20	2:1 ✺
06.06.25	Desportivo Brasil U20 - Ibrachina U20	2:2 ✺
01.06.25	Ibrachina U20 - São Paulo U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLTL
- Tanabi EC U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
04.07.25	Tanabi U20 - Desportivo Brasil U20	1:1 ✺
27.06.25	CA Bandeirante U20 - Tanabi U20	3:3 ✺
20.06.25	Tanabi U20 - Capivariano U20	0:2 ✺
07.06.25	XV de Jaú U20 - Tanabi U20	5:4 ✺
30.05.25	Tanabi U20 - Grêmio Prudente U20	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTLLL

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