The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Icasa 42.4%
Draw 33.1%
Guarany de Sobral 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.9%
26.9%
11.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.4%
22.7%
9.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Icasa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Icasa's form might have worsened.
Guarany de Sobral has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guarany de Sobral's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Icasa than the current prediction. (+31%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Icasa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Sobral than the current prediction. (-15%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guarany de Sobral, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Cearense (Second stage) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Cearense (Second stage)).
Recent matches Icasa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Guarany is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).