Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Igea Virtus Barcellona		Ragusa

	1	X	2
	2.03	3.31	3.36	Watch
	2.03	3.28	3.29
	1.88	3.35	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.88)	3.31 ↓ (3.35)	3.37 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igea Virtus Barcellona
45.8%

Draw
27.3%

Ragusa
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

26.6%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

24.4%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igea Virtus Barcellona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Ragusa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Igea Virtus Barcellona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ragusa than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Igea Virtus Barcellona - Ragusa Predictions

Users Predictions: Igea Virtus Barcellona will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Igea Virtus Barcellona will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).

Igea Virtus is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ragusa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Igea Virtus could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Igea Virtus won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Igea Virtus won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Igea Virtus Barcellona
Italian Serie D - Group I
16.11.25	Castrumfavara - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Gelbison Cilento	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Reggina - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Nissa	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Paternò - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 TTWWW
- Ragusa Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
16.11.25	Ragusa - Savoia	3:2 ✺
09.11.25	Vigor Lamezia - Ragusa	4:0 ✺
02.11.25	Vibonese - Ragusa	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	Ragusa - Milazzo	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Castrumfavara - Ragusa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
27.04.25	Ragusa - Igea Virtus Barcellona	3:2
25.02.24	Ragusa - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:1
22.10.23	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Ragusa	1:0

Igea Virtus Barcellona - Ragusa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide