Match Info

BRAZIL: Cearense - Relegation - Round 3

Date: 27 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello (Iguatu)


	Iguatu		Barbalha

	1	X	2
	1.54	3.8	5
	1.53	3.87	5.09
	1.54	4.04	5.27	Watch
	1.51	4.15	5.59
	1.54	3.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.56)	3.93 ↑ (3.7)	5.19 ↓ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iguatu
59.4%

Draw
23.1%

Barbalha
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

24.9%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

24%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iguatu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Barbalha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iguatu than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barbalha than the current prediction. (-2%)

Iguatu - Barbalha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mauro Iguatu (C) 4. Davy 5. Geovani Silva 25. Gustavo Coutinho 15. Lalim 6. Leo Carioca 10. Mateuzinho 20. Thalison 11. Tiaguinho 7. Verdun M. 3. Wagner Vidal	12. dos Santos Vila Nova A. (G) 8. Andrade 2. Biel 6. Diego Eduardo 11. Erikin 3. Fabricio Recife 5. Italo 7. Leo Pimenta 4. Levi 10. Romarinho (C) 9. Vitor Ribeiro
Substitutes
16. Arthur Matias 13. Denis 2. Escobar R. 21. Guilherme Farias 12. Jean (G) 18. Joao Carlos 8. Luan Silva 19. Pedro Igor 22. Regino Sousa 23. Renisson 17. Robert 28. Ytalo (G)	15. Aldair Alagoano 14. Bruno Kayke 17. Cajaiba 20. Denis 29. Gabriel Silva 18. Guilherme 21. Kauan 13. Natanael 16. Renan 22. Valencia L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Gustavo Coutinho ⚽,
5', 2 - 0, Tiaguinho ⚽,
8', Davy 🟨,
16', Gabriel Silva 🟨,
18', 2 - 1, Erikin ⚽,
20', 2 - 2, Leo Pimenta ⚽,
33', Erikin 🟨,
45', 🟨,
45+7', Erikin ↓, Kauan ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 3 - 2, Thalison ⚽,
66', Romarinho ↓, Denis ↑,
70', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
70', Kauan 🟨,
71', Mateuzinho ↓, Robert ↑,
73', Lalim 🟨,
73', 3 - 3, Fabricio Recife ⚽,
75', Thalison ↓, Luan Silva ↑,
78', Gabriel Silva ↓, Cajaiba ↑,
81', Tiaguinho ↓, Renisson ↑,
82', Lalim ↓, Arthur Matias ↑,
90+2', Regino Sousa 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Iguatu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barbalha is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Iguatu is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Iguatu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Iguatu
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
21.02.25	Floresta - Iguatu	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Iguatu - Cariri	3:0 ✺
03.02.25	Cariri - Iguatu	1:5 ✺
29.01.25	Ceará - Iguatu	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Iguatu - Floresta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLT
- Barbalha FC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
22.02.25	Cariri - Barbalha	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Barbalha - Floresta	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Maracanã - Barbalha	4:1 ✺
02.02.25	Ceará - Barbalha	5:0 ✺
28.01.25	Barbalha - Horizonte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
06.01.19	Barbalha - Iguatu	2:0

Iguatu - Barbalha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide