Match Info

Cearense - Round 5

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Domingão (Horizonte)


	Floresta		Iguatu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.96	3.03	4.04	Watch
	1.95	2.75	3.9
	1.94	2.97	4.04
	1.92	2.83	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.18)	2.9 ↓ (3.23)	4.02 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floresta
46.4%

Draw
31.1%

Iguatu
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.5%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floresta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Iguatu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iguatu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Floresta - Iguatu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Tiepo (G) 27. Marco Antonio 3. Eduardo 4. Joao Victor 14. Cedric 6. Diego Matos 8. Guilherme Borges (C) 20. Vitinho 17. Nonato 10. Matheusinho 18. Thailor	1. Ze Rafael (G) 2. Biel Potiguar 3. Wagner Vidal 4. Diguinho 14. Max Oliveira 22. Talisson 20. Jeffinho 7. Rogerio 18. Caio 11. Tiaguinho 10. Cassio Halloween
Substitutes
22. Araujo Silva B. (G) 30. Arilson 7. Bismark 19. Daniel 5. Danrley 25. Diogo Mourao 15. Eliandro 21. Emerson 28. Indio R. 1. Jeferson Souza (G) 9. Joao Celeri 16. Marcelo Maia	17. Alison 15. Bruno Menezes 6. Eric 38. Geferson (G) 13. Joao Pedro 25. Leandrinho 9. Matheus Lima 19. Piaui 21. Ze Oliveira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Diguinho 🟨,
22', Marco Antonio 🟨,
40', Tiaguinho 🟨,
45', Joao Victor 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Marco Antonio ↓, Arilson ↑,
46', Cassio Halloween ↓, Matheus Lima ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Nonato ⚽, Matheusinho (A),
61', Vitinho ↓, Daniel ↑,
64', Biel Potiguar ↓, Eric ↑,
64', Max Oliveira ↓, Bruno Menezes ↑,
69', Jeffinho ↓, Piaui ↑,
69', Matheusinho ↓, Marcelo Maia ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Piaui ⚽, Matheus Lima (A),
76', Thailor ↓, Joao Celeri ↑,
76', Guilherme Borges ↓, Danrley ↑,
77', Caio ↓, Alison ↑,
90+4', Tiepo 🟨,
90+5', Talisson 🟨,
90+6', Eduardo 🟨,
90+9', Rogerio 🟨,

Preview

Floresta is Qualified for Cearense (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Iguatu is Qualified for Cearense (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Iguatu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Floresta will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Floresta won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Floresta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floresta EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
17.01.26	Maranguape - Floresta	0:3 ✺
10.01.26	Floresta - Ceará	0:1 ✺
07.01.26	Tirol - Floresta	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
11.10.25	Caxias - Floresta	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Floresta - Londrina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWTL
- AD Iguatu
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
17.01.26	Ceará - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Iguatu - Tirol	0:0 ✺
08.01.26	Iguatu - Maranguape	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
26.07.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Iguatu - Imperatriz de Desportos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
21.02.25	Floresta - Iguatu	1:0
25.01.25	Iguatu - Floresta	1:1
19.01.19	Iguatu - Floresta	2:2
10.03.18	Iguatu - Floresta	0:2
10.02.18	Iguatu - Floresta	1:1

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