Match Info
Serie D - Round 13Date: 20 July 2025, SundayLocation: Estádio Governador Ernani Sátyro (Campina Grande)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Treze |
|
América RN |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
2.25 |
|
 |
2.3 |
2.98 |
2.98 |
|
 |
2.31 |
2.97 |
3.02 |
|
 |
2.32 |
2.96 |
3.03 |
|
 |
2.75 |
3.19 |
2.26 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↓
(2.75) |
3.04 ↓
(3.3) |
2.71 ↑
(2.23) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Treze
36.5% | Draw
29.9% | América RN
33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Treze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)América RN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and América RN might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treze than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América RN than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América RN could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Treze - América RN Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Hebert ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 60', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)). América RN is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Treze won 0.Treze has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, América RN has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Treze may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Treze won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).Including home matches between the teams, Treze won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
América RN - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 40.21%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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