Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 8

Date: 13 June 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Presidente Vargas (Campina Grande)


	Treze		Potiguar

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.33	7.5
	1.35	4.33	8
	1.31	4.1	8.61
	1.32	4.11	8.62
	1.31	4.65	8.5
	1.35	4.33	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.31)	4.31 ↓ (4.5)	8.21 ↓ (8.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treze
68%

Draw
21%

Potiguar
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

20.1%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.7%

18.6%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Potiguar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treze than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Treze, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Potiguar than the current prediction. (-1%)

Treze - Potiguar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, de Freitas Silva Pontes G. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Treze in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Potiguar has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Treze is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Treze to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Treze won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Treze won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treze FC
Brazilian Serie D
09.06.24	Potiguar - Treze	0:3 ✺
01.06.24	Treze - América RN	1:1 ✺
25.05.24	Atlético Cearense - Treze	0:2 ✺
19.05.24	Treze - Iguatu	3:0 ✺
12.05.24	Maracanã - Treze	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWWW
- ACD Potiguar
Brazilian Serie D
09.06.24	Potiguar - Treze	0:3 ✺
31.05.24	Iguatu - Potiguar	2:0 ✺
26.05.24	Potiguar - Santa Cruz de Natal	1:2 ✺
19.05.24	América RN - Potiguar	2:0 ✺
12.05.24	Sousa - Potiguar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
09.06.24	Potiguar - Treze	0:3
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.02.14	Treze - Potiguar	1:2
17.01.14	Potiguar - Treze	2:1

Treze - Potiguar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide