Match Info

2. SNL - Round 12

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Ilirija Ljubljana		Dravinja

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.35	2.78	Watch
	1.32	4.57	10.34	Watch
	2.13	3.4	2.99
	2.12	3.4	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.76)	3.68 ↑ (3.53)	4.79 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilirija Ljubljana
51.7%

Draw
27.3%

Dravinja
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

25.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

25%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilirija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilirija Ljubljana's performance.

Dravinja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dravinja might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilirija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilirija Ljubljana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dravinja than the current prediction. (+21.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dravinja could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ilirija Ljubljana - Dravinja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 4)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
53', 2 - 1, ⚽,
60', 2 - 2, ⚽,
66', 2 - 3, ⚽,
85', 2 - 4, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 5, ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 12)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ilirija won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilirija won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilirija Ljubljana
Slovenian 2 SNL
19.10.25	Nafta - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Ilirija Ljubljana - Krka	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Bistrica - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Ilirija Ljubljana - Rudar Velenje	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Tabor Sežana - Ilirija Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTTTT
- ND Dravinja
Slovenian 2 SNL
18.10.25	Krka - Dravinja	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Dravinja - Rudar Velenje	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Dravinja	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Dravinja - Triglav	2:4 ✺
19.09.25	Brinje-Grosuplje - Dravinja	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
19.04.25	Dravinja - Ilirija Ljubljana	1:1
06.10.24	Ilirija Ljubljana - Dravinja	0:1
10.03.24	Ilirija Ljubljana - Dravinja	1:3
20.08.23	Dravinja - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:0

Ilirija Ljubljana - Dravinja: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide