Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 8

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday


	Ilkeston		Quorn

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.40	3.10
	1.93	3.25	3.25
	1.94	3.78	3.20
	1.98	3.86	3.27	Watch
	1.92	3.70	3.15
	2.14	3.66	3.03
	2.00	3.40	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.23)	3.58 ↑ (3.15)	3.18 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
45.9%

Draw
25.4%

Quorn
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

27.9%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

26.7%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilkeston's performance.

Quorn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quorn than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Ilkeston - Quorn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Lawrence-Lowther J. ⚽,
75', 0 - 2, Lawrence-Lowther J. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Ilkeston has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Quorn is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ilkeston could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Quorn	11	2	4	5	18:27	-9	10
21	Ilkeston	12	2	1	9	7:26	-19	7

Last Results with these Odds

Ilkeston - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 39.47%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
29.08.26	Bury - Ilkeston	7:0 ✺
25.08.26	Ashton United - Ilkeston	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ilkeston - Cleethorpes Town	0:3 ✺
18.08.26	Ilkeston - Warrington Town	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Whitby Town - Ilkeston	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTLLL
- Quorn
English NPL Premier Division
29.08.26	Quorn - Whitby Town	3:6 ✺
25.08.26	Quorn - Gainsborough Trinity	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Lancaster City - Quorn	2:2 ✺
18.08.26	Warrington Rylands - Quorn	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Quorn - Redcar Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTTLT

Upcoming Matches