Match Info
NPL Premier Division - Round 7Date: 29 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Gigg Lane (Bury)
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Bury |
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Ilkeston |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.49 |
4.10 |
5.00 |
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1.50 |
3.85 |
4.80 |
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1.48 |
4.55 |
5.36 |
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1.5 |
4.58 |
5.36 |
 Watch |
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1.45 |
4.50 |
5.20 |
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1.60 |
4.37 |
4.68 |
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1.50 |
4.10 |
5.20 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.71) |
4.29 ↑
(3.88) |
5.09 ↑
(4.15) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bury
60.8% | Draw
21.3% | Ilkeston
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bury's performance.Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bury than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bury that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (+3.6%)Bury - Ilkeston Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Robinson O. ⚽,
- 22', 2 - 0, Evans K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 25', 3 - 0, Graham L. ⚽,
- 38', 4 - 0, Carr T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 54', 5 - 0, Graham L. ⚽,
- 64', 6 - 0, Touray M. ⚽,
- 89', 7 - 0, Carr T. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 14).Recent performances by Bury have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Ilkeston's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). In this match, Bury is a strong favorite. The teams have not played against each other recently.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Bury | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:9 | 10 | 16 |
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| 21 | Ilkeston | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7:26 | -19 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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