Match Info

Date: 27 September 2022, Tuesday


	Ilkeston		Stratford Town

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	2.85
	1.9	3.75	2.9
	1.98	3.75	3
	2.02	3.88	3.2
	2.01	3.65	3.1
	2	3.75	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.22)	3.71 ↑ (3.6)	3.01 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
45.5%

Draw
24.4%

Stratford Town
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

25.2%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

26.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Stratford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stratford Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Ilkeston - Stratford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 7).

Recent matches Ilkeston is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stratford is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Stratford have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English Southern League Central Division
24.09.22	Bedford Town - Ilkeston	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
20.09.22	Ilkeston - Anstey Nomads	3:4 penalties ✺
English Southern League Central Division
13.09.22	Coalville Town - Ilkeston	1:4 ✺
29.08.22	Ilkeston - Mickleover Sports	2:3 ✺
27.08.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Ilkeston	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLWLT
- Stratford Town
English Southern League Central Division
24.09.22	Stratford Town - Nuneaton Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
20.09.22	Stratford Town - Banbury United	0:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
13.09.22	Stratford Town - Rushden & Diamonds	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
03.09.22	Cleethorpes Town - Stratford Town	0:4 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
29.08.22	Stratford Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWWW

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