Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 6

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday


	Ilkeston		Hyde United

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.5	3.25
	1.9	3.6	3.25
	1.9	3.76	3.38
	1.9	3.56	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.3)	3.61 ↑ (3.38)	3.33 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
47.7%

Draw
25.1%

Hyde United
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26.6%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

28.3%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilkeston's performance.

Hyde United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hyde United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilkeston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hyde United than the current prediction. (+5%)

Ilkeston - Hyde United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Parker S. ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Walker J. (Pen),
45+1', 3 - 0, Fox R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilkeston won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Ilkeston - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.18%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Hyde United - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.19%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
23.08.25	Bamber Bridge - Ilkeston	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Warrington Town - Ilkeston	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Ilkeston - Prescot Cables	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Ilkeston - Gainsborough Trinity	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Morpeth Town - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWLW
- Hyde United
English NPL Premier Division
23.08.25	Hyde United - Whitby Town	5:2 ✺
19.08.25	Hyde United - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Stockton Town - Hyde United	2:2 ✺
12.08.25	Cleethorpes Town - Hyde United	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	Hyde United - Lancaster City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
11.02.25	Hyde United - Ilkeston	3:1
22.10.24	Ilkeston - Hyde United	3:2
16.03.24	Ilkeston - Hyde United	1:1
24.10.23	Hyde United - Ilkeston	2:0
09.04.16	Hyde United - Ilkeston	1:3
21.11.15	Ilkeston - Hyde United	3:1

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